Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KRC Harelbeke vs Aalst

Belgium Belgium

Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KRC Harelbeke in this Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored KRC Harelbeke.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
KRC Harelbeke
15%
Draws
76%
Aalst
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalst

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aalst lately — more wins on the board than KRC Harelbeke.
  • Aalst are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
KRC Harelbeke Clean Sheet 20%
Aalst Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KRC Harelbeke Aalst
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 12 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.51 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
KRC Harelbeke vs Aalst
1:0
Oct 22, 2023 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Aalst vs KRC Harelbeke
1:1
Mar 26, 2023 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Aalst vs KRC Harelbeke
1:4
Nov 5, 2022 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
KRC Harelbeke vs Aalst
0:2
Apr 1, 2017 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
KRC Harelbeke vs Aalst
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KRC Harelbeke 10 / 100
Aalst 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KRC Harelbeke Aalst

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalst Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KRC Harelbeke's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Aalst let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: KRC Harelbeke remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KRC Harelbeke VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

KRC Harelbeke

(Home)
20 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
13 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 4
Tienen
05 Sept
Heist
2 : 1
KRC Harelbeke
30 Aug
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 3
Mandel United
08 Aug
KRC Harelbeke
1 : 1
Renaissance Mons
Page 1 of 8

Aalst

(Away)
05 May
Aalst
1 : 3
Gullegem
28 Apr
KRC Harelbeke
1 : 0
Aalst
21 Apr
Aalst
3 : 0
Ninove
14 Apr
Olsa Brakel
2 : 3
Aalst
07 Apr
Aalst
4 : 1
Oostkamp
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalst 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
2 Ninove 34 17 7 10 57:48 58
3 Dikkelvenne 34 15 11 8 67:48 56
4 Merelbeke 34 16 6 12 68:43 54
5 Cercle Brugge 2 34 16 5 13 64:51 53
6 Voorde Appelterre 34 15 8 11 54:56 53
7 Oudenaarde 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 Oostkamp 34 14 7 13 58:68 49
9 Waregem 2 34 14 6 14 53:44 48
10 Gullegem 34 14 5 15 57:64 47
11 Torhout 34 13 8 13 47:61 47
12 KRC Gent 34 13 6 15 54:53 45
13 Zelzate 34 12 6 16 63:60 42
14 Olsa Brakel 34 11 6 17 38:47 39
15 KRC Harelbeke 34 9 12 13 47:56 39
16 Petegem 34 10 8 16 54:63 38
17 Mandel United 34 10 7 17 27:46 37
18 RFC Wetteren 34 8 8 18 49:80 32
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)