Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kremin vs Fenix Mariupol

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2024/2025 Yunist Stadium, Horisni Plavni
Wed, Nov 27, 2024
3 - 0
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kremin host Fenix Mariupol in the Persha Liga 2024/2025. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Kremin at 0.63 goals for, 1.7 against; Fenix Mariupol at 1.47 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Kremin have won 1 to Fenix Mariupol's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 27, 2024, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 0.85 vs 1.30, favoring Fenix Mariupol. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Kremin
30%
Draws
58%
Fenix Mariupol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fenix Mariupol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fenix Mariupol lately — more wins on the board than Kremin.
  • Fenix Mariupol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Persha Liga 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Kremin Clean Sheet 19%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kremin Fenix Mariupol
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2024 Persha Liga
Kremin vs Fenix Mariupol
3:0
Sep 27, 2024 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Kremin
3:0
Nov 25, 2023 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Kremin
1:0
Sep 24, 2023 Persha Liga
Kremin vs Fenix Mariupol
0:3
May 7, 2022 Druha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Kremin
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kremin 10 / 100
Fenix Mariupol 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kremin Fenix Mariupol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenix Mariupol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenix Mariupol let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Kremin scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Kremin has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fenix Mariupol
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kremin

(Home)
23 May
Kremin
0 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
17 May
Minaj
3 : 0
Kremin
11 May
Kremin
0 : 0
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
03 May
Nyva Ternopil
3 : 1
Kremin
19 Apr
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 1
Kremin
Page 1 of 6

Fenix Mariupol

(Away)
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2
Zorya
05 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
1 : 1
Kulikiv
28 Aug
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 3
Fenix Mariupol
20 Aug
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 6
Fenix Mariupol
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Epitsentr 14 8 5 1 21:7 29
2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 14 9 1 4 16:13 28
3 Metalist Kharkiv 14 6 4 4 20:11 22
4 Bukovyna 14 5 5 4 11:11 20
5 Nyva Ternopil 14 4 4 6 13:17 16
6 Minaj 14 4 4 6 12:20 16
7 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 14 3 4 7 14:18 13
8 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 14 1 5 8 9:19 8
9 Khust 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kudrivka 16 9 4 3 22:12 31
2 FC Kharkiv 16 8 5 3 21:10 29
3 SC Poltava 16 8 5 3 24:14 29
4 UCSA 16 8 4 4 31:21 28
5 Victoria 16 6 5 5 23:12 23
6 Fenix Mariupol 16 5 3 8 17:23 18
7 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 16 4 5 7 15:22 17
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 16 3 4 9 12:28 13
9 Kremin 16 2 3 11 9:32 9
Promotion - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)