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Kremser vs SV Donau

Austria Austria

Regionalliga East 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Starkl D.
35' Event
Koglbauer P.
56' Event
Boguo J.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga East 2025/2026 game between Kremser and SV Donau finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kremser.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kremser
6%
Draws
4%
SV Donau
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kremser

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kremser come out ahead of SV Donau on wins alone.
  • Kremser are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Regionalliga East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kremser Clean Sheet 18%
SV Donau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kremser SV Donau
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Regionalliga East
Kremser vs SV Donau
5:1
Nov 15, 2025 Regionalliga East
SV Donau vs Kremser
2:1
Apr 28, 2006 Regionalliga East
Kremser vs SV Donau
2:0
Oct 2, 2005 Regionalliga East
SV Donau vs Kremser
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kremser Compare

Top Goalscorer Starkl D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Koglbauer P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

SV Donau Compare

Top Goalscorer Boguo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kremser 85 / 100
SV Donau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kremser SV Donau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kremser scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: SV Donau registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

SV Donau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kremser VS SV Donau
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gloggnitz32188658:4562
2Parndorf32188658:3462
3Kremser32177861:3358
4Leobendorf321831148:3457
5SV Oberwart321751073:4256
6Horn32149957:3551
7Traiskirchen321481070:5250
8FC Marchfeld Donauauen321310955:3749
9Donaufeld Wien321381151:4447
10Wiener321371254:5246
11Wiener Viktoria321361350:5145
12SV Donau321281250:5744
13Favoritner321231744:5239
14Sportunion Mauer321071532:4737
15Neusiedl32851946:7229
16Retz32482025:6420
17TWL Elektra32222821:1028