Sport Picks

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Kremser vs SV Donau

Austria Austria

Regionalliga East 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Starkl D.
35' Event
Koglbauer P.
56' Event
Boguo J.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga East 2025/2026 game between Kremser and SV Donau finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kremser.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Kremser
35%
Draws
37%
SV Donau
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SV Donau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kremser come out ahead of SV Donau on wins alone.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Regionalliga East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Kremser Clean Sheet 17%
SV Donau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kremser SV Donau
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.46 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Regionalliga East
SV Donau vs Kremser
1:1
May 29, 2026 Regionalliga East
Kremser vs SV Donau
5:1
Nov 15, 2025 Regionalliga East
SV Donau vs Kremser
2:1
Apr 28, 2006 Regionalliga East
Kremser vs SV Donau
2:0
Oct 2, 2005 Regionalliga East
SV Donau vs Kremser
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kremser Compare

Top Goalscorer Starkl D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Koglbauer P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

SV Donau Compare

Top Goalscorer Boguo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kremser 31 / 100
SV Donau 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kremser SV Donau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Donau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Kremser's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

SV Donau has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Kremser stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kremser VS SV Donau
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kremser

(Home)
18 Sept
Favoritner
0 : 3
Kremser
11 Sept
Kremser
3 : 1
SV Oberwart
28 Aug
Kremser
0 : 1
Horn
21 Aug
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
3 : 1
Kremser
14 Aug
Kremser
1 : 1
Parndorf
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SV Donau

(Away)
18 Sept
Mattersburg SV 2020
2 : 2
SV Donau
11 Sept
SV Donau
4 : 0
Favoritner
04 Sept
SV Oberwart
0 : 2
SV Donau
28 Aug
SV Donau
1 : 1
Traiskirchen
21 Aug
Horn
1 : 1
SV Donau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gloggnitz 32 18 8 6 58:45 62
2 Parndorf 32 18 8 6 58:34 62
3 Kremser 32 17 7 8 61:33 58
4 Leobendorf 32 18 3 11 48:34 57
5 SV Oberwart 32 17 5 10 73:42 56
6 Horn 32 14 9 9 57:35 51
7 Traiskirchen 32 14 8 10 70:52 50
8 FC Marchfeld Donauauen 32 13 10 9 55:37 49
9 Donaufeld Wien 32 13 8 11 51:44 47
10 Wiener 32 13 7 12 54:52 46
11 Wiener Viktoria 32 13 6 13 50:51 45
12 SV Donau 32 12 8 12 50:57 44
13 Favoritner 32 12 3 17 44:52 39
14 Sportunion Mauer 32 10 7 15 32:47 37
15 Neusiedl 32 8 5 19 46:72 29
16 Retz 32 4 8 20 25:64 20
17 TWL Elektra 32 2 2 28 21:102 8
Promotion - 2. Liga (Main)