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Kriens vs Bavois

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Toggenburger N.
(Penalty)
54' Event
Guignard L.
90' Event
Harperink T.

AI Match Summary

The Promotion League 2025/2026 game between Kriens and Bavois finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kriens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kriens
30%
Draws
23%
Bavois
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kriens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kriens come out ahead of Bavois on wins alone.
  • Kriens are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Promotion League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Kriens Clean Sheet 14%
Bavois Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kriens Bavois
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.3 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Promotion League
Kriens vs Bavois
2:1
Mar 11, 2026 Promotion League
Bavois vs Kriens
2:0
Mar 1, 2025 Promotion League
Bavois vs Kriens
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 Promotion League
Kriens vs Bavois
2:2
Nov 25, 2023 Promotion League
Kriens vs Bavois
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kriens Compare

Top Goalscorer Harperink T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Bavois Compare

Top Goalscorer Guignard L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kriens 75 / 100
Bavois 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kriens Bavois

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kriens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kriens found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Bavois conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Kriens has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kriens VS Bavois
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kriens

(Home)
18 Sept
Kriens
4 : 1
Etoile-Carouge
12 Sept
Aarau
2 : 2
Kriens
04 Sept
Kriens
0 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
01 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
1 : 1
Kriens
28 Aug
Kriens
3 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
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Bavois

(Away)
20 Sept
Bavois
0 : 1
Luzern II
12 Sept
Young Boys II
2 : 1
Bavois
05 Sept
Bavois
3 : 0
Bulle
29 Aug
Lugano II
3 : 2
Bavois
22 Aug
Bavois
0 : 0
Bruhl SG
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kriens 34 25 4 5 100:43 79
2 Bruhl SG 34 22 6 6 87:46 72
3 Biel 34 19 7 8 78:46 64
4 Basel II 34 17 8 9 65:48 59
5 Bavois 34 17 4 13 64:53 55
6 Young Boys II 34 15 9 10 66:52 54
7 Schaffhausen 34 16 5 13 51:46 53
8 Bulle 34 15 6 13 70:64 51
9 Cham 34 14 8 12 62:61 50
10 Grand-Saconnex 34 11 10 13 71:69 43
11 Zurich II 34 11 8 15 59:62 41
12 Breitenrain 34 11 8 15 47:51 41
13 Luzern II 34 10 10 14 80:83 40
14 FC Kreuzlingen 34 8 13 13 43:66 37
15 Lugano II 34 8 12 14 45:75 36
16 Paradiso 34 8 11 15 51:65 35
17 Lausanne II 34 9 4 21 60:84 31
18 Vevey 34 1 5 28 28:113 2
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)