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Kriens vs Chiasso

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2022/2023 Stadion Kleinfeld, Kriens
Sat, Mar 4, 2023
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kriens host Chiasso in the Promotion League 2022/2023. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Kriens at 2.38 goals for, 1.31 against; Chiasso at 1.46 for, 0.92 against. Past meetings favor Chiasso slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 4, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.79 vs 1.13, favoring Chiasso. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kriens
20%
Draws
40%
Chiasso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kriens lately — more wins on the board than Chiasso.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kriens Clean Sheet 20%
Chiasso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kriens Chiasso
Matches Played 32 13
Wins 18 8
Draws 5 1
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 2.38 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2023 Promotion League
Kriens vs Chiasso
0:0
Aug 27, 2022 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Kriens
2:1
Apr 9, 2021 Challenge League
Chiasso vs Kriens
0:0
Feb 20, 2021 Challenge League
Kriens vs Chiasso
2:0
Dec 18, 2020 Challenge League
Chiasso vs Kriens
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kriens 31 / 100
Chiasso 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kriens Chiasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kriens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kriens scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Kriens went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Chiasso conceded in 54% of 13 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kriens VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kriens

(Home)
04 Sept
Kriens
0 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
01 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
1 : 1
Kriens
28 Aug
Kriens
3 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
22 Aug
Wil
0 : 2
Kriens
16 Aug
Cham
2 : 0
Kriens
Page 1 of 7

Chiasso

(Away)
02 Aug
Varesina
2 : 2
Chiasso
26 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 0
Bulle
19 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 1
Breitenrain
12 Nov
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 1
Chiasso
05 Nov
Chiasso
0 : 2
Bavois
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzern II 34 24 4 6 95:53 74
2 Stade Nyonnais 34 21 5 8 83:45 66
3 Baden 34 18 6 10 61:48 58
4 Cham 34 17 5 12 60:47 54
5 Rapperswil-Jona 34 17 5 12 59:54 54
6 Etoile-Carouge 34 15 9 10 63:38 52
7 Bruhl SG 34 14 12 8 59:45 52
8 Breitenrain 34 15 8 11 57:57 51
9 Basel II 34 12 10 12 53:57 44
10 Kriens 34 13 6 15 53:58 43
11 Young Boys II 34 11 8 15 64:67 39
12 Zurich II 34 11 7 16 53:56 38
13 Bulle 34 11 6 17 49:57 37
14 Bavois 34 10 9 15 45:65 37
15 St. Gallen II 34 9 7 18 57:86 32
16 Biel 34 6 10 18 32:60 26
17 Young Fellows Juventus 34 4 5 25 27:77 15
18 Chiasso 34 0 34 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Relegation)