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Kriens vs Wil

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kriens host Wil in the Challenge League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Kriens at 2.28 goals for, 1.34 against; Wil at 1.58 for, 1.77 against. Head-to-head, Kriens have won 2 to Wil's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.63, favoring Kriens. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Kriens
35%
Draws
28%
Wil
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kriens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kriens lately — more wins on the board than Wil.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Kriens taking it.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kriens Clean Sheet 14%
Wil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kriens Wil
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.28 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Kriens
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 Swiss Cup
Kriens vs Wil
2:3
Jan 20, 2023 Club Friendly
Wil vs Kriens
2:0
Apr 9, 2022 Challenge League
Kriens vs Wil
2:1
Mar 1, 2022 Challenge League
Wil vs Kriens
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kriens 66 / 100
Wil 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kriens Wil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kriens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kriens found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Wil has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Kriens went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kriens VS Wil
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kriens

(Home)
18 Sept
Kriens
4 : 1
Etoile-Carouge
12 Sept
Aarau
2 : 2
Kriens
04 Sept
Kriens
0 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
01 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
1 : 1
Kriens
28 Aug
Kriens
3 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
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Wil

(Away)
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1
Wil
31 Aug
Wil
2 : 2
Aarau
28 Aug
Yverdon
1 : 1
Wil
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 9 6 3 0 17:3 21
2 Winterthur 9 5 3 1 19:8 18
3 Yverdon 9 4 4 1 14:9 16
4 Kriens 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
5 Aarau 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
6 Xamax 9 4 0 5 12:17 12
7 Rapperswil-Jona 9 3 1 5 15:16 10
8 Etoile-Carouge 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
9 Wil 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
10 Stade Nyonnais 9 0 2 7 6:23 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)