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Krieschow vs Freital - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud Sportpark Krieschow, Kolkwitz
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Krieschow host Freital in the Oberliga NOFV- Sud. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Krieschow at 1.38 goals for, 2.1 against; Freital at 1.7 for, 1.26 against. Past meetings favor Freital slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 2.69, favoring Freital. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Krieschow
35%
Draws
39%
Freital
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Freital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Krieschow haven't matched Freital's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Freital taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Krieschow Clean Sheet 10%
Freital Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krieschow Freital
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Krieschow
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Krieschow vs Freital
2:2
May 4, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Krieschow
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Krieschow vs Freital
1:1
Apr 14, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Krieschow
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krieschow 22 / 100
Freital 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krieschow Freital

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freital Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krieschow found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Freital conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Krieschow remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Krieschow VS Freital
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
3.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Krieschow

(Home)
26 Sept
Krieschow
1 : 1
Bautzen
19 Sept
Plauen
1 : 2
Krieschow
12 Sept
Krieschow
1 : 5
Halle
29 Aug
Halberstadt
5 : 0
Krieschow
23 Aug
Krieschow
0 : 9
Mainz
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Freital

(Away)
26 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
3 : 3
Freital
19 Sept
Freital
2 : 2
Auerbach
13 Sept
Einheit Rudolstadt
1 : 1
Freital
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3
Eilenburg
16 Aug
Freital
4 : 2
1.FC Frankfurt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halberstadt 6 5 1 0 20:4 16
2 Meuselwitz 6 5 1 0 13:5 16
3 Eilenburg 6 4 1 1 19:10 13
4 Halle 6 4 0 2 15:11 12
5 Auerbach 6 3 2 1 11:7 11
6 Dresden II 6 2 4 0 9:4 10
7 SSC Weissenfels 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
8 Plauen 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
9 Einheit Wernigerode 6 1 4 1 12:12 7
10 Sandersdorf 6 2 0 4 13:10 6
11 Freital 6 1 3 2 11:12 6
12 Bautzen 6 1 3 2 8:13 6
13 Krieschow 6 1 1 4 5:16 4
14 1.FC Frankfurt 6 1 0 5 7:23 3
15 Glauchau 6 0 2 4 5:12 2
16 Einheit Rudolstadt 6 0 2 4 4:15 2
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2027/2028 (Main)