Sport Picks

Kristiansund vs Aalesund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway

NM Cup Kristiansund Stadion, Kristiansund

Aalesund

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the NM Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Kristiansund at 1.25 goals for, 1.75 against; Aalesund at 2.32 for, 1.96 against. Past meetings favor Aalesund slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.81 - 2.81) back Aalesund to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Kristiansund

15%

Draws

51%

Aalesund

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Aalesund carry the better recent record into this one.
51% — that's where the model lands on Aalesund taking it.
Aalesund arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Aalesund, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

Kristiansund Clean Sheet 10%

Aalesund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kristiansund	Aalesund
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	9	10
Draws	5	9
Losses	14	9
Goals Scored	1.25	2.32
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.96
Expected Goals (xG)	1.81	2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly

Kristiansund vs Aalesund

0:3

Apr 26, 2026 Eliteserien

Aalesund vs Kristiansund

1:1

Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly

Aalesund vs Kristiansund

1:0

Mar 23, 2025 Club Friendly

Kristiansund vs Aalesund

2:1

Jul 19, 2024 Club Friendly

Aalesund vs Kristiansund

5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kristiansund 10 / 100

Aalesund 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kristiansund Aalesund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Kristiansund scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Kristiansund remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kristiansund VS Aalesund

1.88 Goals Scored 3.63

2 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kristiansund

(Home)

04 Oct

Molde

3 : 0

Kristiansund

19 Sept

Kristiansund

1 : 3

Rosenborg

16 Sept

Brattvag

1 : 2

Kristiansund

13 Sept

Viking

8 : 1

Kristiansund

06 Sept

Kristiansund

2 : 0

Tromso

Page 1 of 6

Aalesund

(Away)

19 Sept

Molde

1 : 2

Aalesund

16 Sept

Forde

3 : 4

Aalesund

13 Sept

KFUM Oslo

2 : 1

Aalesund

04 Sept

Aalesund

2 : 0

Start

30 Aug

Viking

2 : 1

Aalesund

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Baerum 4

Mjondalen 0

Aurskog/Finstadbru 0

Lillestrom 3

Froya 0

Sotra 6

Fjora 0

Sogndal 8

Tynset 0

Trygg/Lade 3

Midsund 0

Molde 11

Asker 7

Kvik Halden 0

Modum 0

Stromsgodset 6

Fram 1

Jerv 2

Vag 2

Egersund 5

Fana 1

Bjarg 3

Rosseland 0

Bryne 3

Volda 2

Brattvag 6

Tronder-Lyn 0

Kristiansund 5

Floro 2

Forde 4

Langevag 0

Aalesund 13

Froland 1

Arendal 5

Varhaug 2

Sandnes Ulf 3

Stalkam 2

Rana FK 3

Fauske Sprint 0

Bodo/Glimt 5

Askoy 1

Sandviken 2

Arna-Bjornar 0

Asane 1

Rollon 0

Traeff 7

Spjelkavik 1

Hodd 2

Strindheim 0

Levanger 8

Steinkjer 0

Ranheim 6

Melhus 0

Stjordals Blink 3

Eidsvold IF 1

Fredrikstad 7

Madla IL 3

Vidar 2

Brodd 1

Viking 3

Eik-Tonsberg 1

Honefoss 4

Ready 0

KFUM Oslo 4

Elverum 7

Ull/Kisa 6

Ridabu 0

Raufoss 4

Vindbjart 2

Flekkeroy 1

Flekkefjord 1

Start 2

Bossekop 1

Alta 2

Ulfstind 0

Tromso 5

Nord 0

Djerv 1919 4

V. Haugesund 3

Haugesund 4

Assiden 0

Notodden 4

Teie 0

Odds BK 10

Flint 2

Orn 0

Eidanger 0

Sandefjord 15

Uradd 0

Pors 3

Heming 0

Stabaek 2

Gjovik-Lyn 2

Eidsvold TF 7

Skreia 2

Kongsvinger 14

Harstad 0

Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1

Lillehammer 2

Strommen 4

Gamle Oslo 6

Drobak-Frogn 1

Grei 0

Lyn 4

Floya 5

Junkeren 3

Nationalkameratene 0

Rosenborg 9

Frigg 0

Kjelsas 4

Trysil 0

Ham-Kam 5

Lokomotiv Oslo 1

Grorud 5

Lorenskog 0

Moss 3

OS TF 2

Lysekloster 0

Fyllingen 0

Brann 4

Rade 1

Follo 2

Sparta Sarpsborg 0

Sarpsborg 08 2

Nordstrand 1

Skeid 4

Christiania BK 2

Valerenga 7

1/32-finals

Baerum 1

Lillestrom 5

Sotra 1

Sogndal 2

Trygg/Lade 0

Molde 5

Asker 1

Stromsgodset 4

Jerv 1

Egersund 2

Bjarg 1

Bryne 4

Brattvag 1

Kristiansund 2

Forde 3

Aalesund 4

Arendal 1

Sandnes Ulf 2

Rana FK 2

Bodo/Glimt 6

Sandviken 2

Asane 3

Traeff 0

Hodd 3

Levanger 0

Ranheim 2

Stjordals Blink 0

Fredrikstad 1

Madla IL 0

Viking 3

Honefoss 0

KFUM Oslo 2

Elverum 0

Raufoss 3

Vindbjart 2

Start 3

Alta 1

Tromso 2

Djerv 1919 0

Haugesund 4

Notodden 2

Odds BK 3

Flint 0

Sandefjord 1

Pors 2

Stabaek 1

Eidsvold TF 2

Kongsvinger 3

Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9

Strommen 1

Gamle Oslo 1

Lyn 3

Floya 1

Rosenborg 4

Kjelsas 0

Ham-Kam 2

Grorud 2

Moss 1

OS TF 1

Brann 2

Follo 0

Sarpsborg 08 2

Skeid 1

Valerenga 4

1/16-finals

Lillestrom -

Sogndal -

Molde -

Stromsgodset -

Egersund -

Bryne -

Kristiansund -

Aalesund -

Sandnes Ulf -

Bodo/Glimt -

Asane -

Hodd -

Ranheim -

Fredrikstad -

Viking -

KFUM Oslo -

Raufoss 1

Start 5

Tromso -

Haugesund -

Odds BK -

Sandefjord -

Pors -

Kongsvinger -

Tromsdalen (TUIL) -

Lyn -

Rosenborg -

Ham-Kam -

Grorud -

Brann -

Sarpsborg 08 -

Valerenga -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Kristiansund vs Aalesund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway

Kristiansund

Aalesund

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Kristiansund

Aalesund

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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