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Kristiansund vs Aalesund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Kristiansund Stadion, Kristiansund
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kristiansund host Aalesund in the Eliteserien. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Kristiansund at 1.25 goals for, 1.75 against; Aalesund at 2.32 for, 1.96 against. Head-to-head, Kristiansund have won 1 to Aalesund's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 2.81, favoring Aalesund. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kristiansund
15%
Draws
51%
Aalesund
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aalesund lately — more wins on the board than Kristiansund.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Aalesund taking it.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Kristiansund Clean Sheet 10%
Aalesund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kristiansund Aalesund
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.25 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Kristiansund vs Aalesund
0:3
Apr 26, 2026 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Kristiansund
1:1
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Aalesund vs Kristiansund
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Kristiansund vs Aalesund
2:1
Jul 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Aalesund vs Kristiansund
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kristiansund 10 / 100
Aalesund 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kristiansund Aalesund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Kristiansund scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Kristiansund has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kristiansund VS Aalesund
1.88 Goals Scored 3.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kristiansund

(Home)
04 Oct
Molde
3 : 0
Kristiansund
19 Sept
Kristiansund
1 : 3
Rosenborg
16 Sept
Brattvag
1 : 2
Kristiansund
13 Sept
Viking
8 : 1
Kristiansund
06 Sept
Kristiansund
2 : 0
Tromso
Page 1 of 6

Aalesund

(Away)
19 Sept
Molde
1 : 2
Aalesund
16 Sept
Forde
3 : 4
Aalesund
13 Sept
KFUM Oslo
2 : 1
Aalesund
04 Sept
Aalesund
2 : 0
Start
30 Aug
Viking
2 : 1
Aalesund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 21 16 2 3 54:20 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 21 9 2 10 39:32 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)