Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kristiansund vs Molde - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Kristiansund Stadion, Kristiansund
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Kilen S.
Assist: Svendsen S.
62'
Hestad E.
64'
Hestad E.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Kristiansund and Molde finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kristiansund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Kristiansund
15%
Draws
57%
Molde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Molde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Molde come out ahead of Kristiansund on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Molde's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Kristiansund Clean Sheet 10%
Molde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kristiansund Molde
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.21 2.59
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Molde vs Kristiansund
3:0
Aug 9, 2026 Eliteserien
Kristiansund vs Molde
2:1
May 16, 2026 Eliteserien
Molde vs Kristiansund
1:0
Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Molde vs Kristiansund
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Eliteserien
Kristiansund vs Molde
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kristiansund Compare

Top Goalscorer Kilen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvheim L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Molde Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone-Doherty T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kristiansund 10 / 100
Molde 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kristiansund Molde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kristiansund scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Molde conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Kristiansund has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kristiansund VS Molde
1.88 Goals Scored 4.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kristiansund

(Home)
04 Oct
Molde
3 : 0
Kristiansund
19 Sept
Kristiansund
1 : 3
Rosenborg
16 Sept
Brattvag
1 : 2
Kristiansund
13 Sept
Viking
8 : 1
Kristiansund
06 Sept
Kristiansund
2 : 0
Tromso
Page 1 of 6

Molde

(Away)
04 Oct
Molde
3 : 0
Kristiansund
19 Sept
Molde
1 : 2
Aalesund
16 Sept
Trygg/Lade
0 : 5
Molde
13 Sept
Ham-Kam
1 : 5
Molde
06 Sept
Molde
2 : 0
KFUM Oslo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 22 17 2 3 56:20 53
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 22 9 2 11 39:34 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)