Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kristiansund vs Molde

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Kristiansund Stadion, Kristiansund
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Kilen S.
Assist: Svendsen S.
62'
Hestad E.
64'
Hestad E.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Kristiansund and Molde finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kristiansund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kristiansund
30%
Draws
39%
Molde
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Molde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Molde come out ahead of Kristiansund on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Kristiansund Clean Sheet 10%
Molde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kristiansund Molde
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Eliteserien
Kristiansund vs Molde
2:1
May 16, 2026 Eliteserien
Molde vs Kristiansund
1:0
Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Molde vs Kristiansund
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Eliteserien
Kristiansund vs Molde
2:1
May 21, 2025 NM Cup
Molde vs Kristiansund
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kristiansund Compare

Top Goalscorer Kilen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvheim L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Molde Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone-Doherty T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kristiansund 30 / 100
Molde 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kristiansund Molde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molde has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Kristiansund's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kristiansund has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kristiansund VS Molde
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kristiansund

(Home)
09 Aug
Kristiansund
2 : 1
Molde
02 Aug
KFUM Oslo
2 : 1
Kristiansund
25 Jul
Kristiansund
1 : 2
Start
18 Jul
Kristiansund
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
12 Jul
Rosenborg
3 : 0
Kristiansund
Page 1 of 6

Molde

(Away)
09 Aug
Kristiansund
2 : 1
Molde
02 Aug
Molde
3 : 3
Sarpsborg 08
26 Jul
KFUM Oslo
2 : 4
Molde
18 Jul
Molde
1 : 2
Brann
11 Jul
Aalesund
2 : 2
Molde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 17 13 2 2 43:12 41
2 Viking 17 13 1 3 40:17 40
3 Tromso 16 10 4 2 32:17 34
4 Lillestrom 16 8 1 7 22:20 25
5 Molde 16 7 3 6 29:24 24
6 Rosenborg 17 7 3 7 25:22 24
7 Brann 16 7 1 8 33:27 22
8 Sarpsborg 08 16 6 4 6 19:21 22
9 Ham-Kam 16 6 4 6 24:27 22
10 Valerenga 16 6 2 8 23:29 20
11 Fredrikstad 16 6 2 8 17:27 20
12 KFUM Oslo 16 5 3 8 18:26 18
13 Sandefjord 16 4 3 9 13:22 15
14 Kristiansund 16 4 3 9 15:26 15
15 Aalesund 16 2 8 6 22:36 14
16 Start 17 2 4 11 16:38 10
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)