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Stadium Background

Krk vs Novigrad

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Krk Logo

Krk

4 - 1
FT
Novigrad Logo

Novigrad

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Krk in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Krk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Krk
30%
Draws
47%
Novigrad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Novigrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Novigrad at 1.5 per game, Krk at 1.11.
  • Krk are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular 3. HNL West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Krk Clean Sheet 20%
Novigrad Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krk Novigrad
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 12 8
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 1.11 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 3. HNL West
Krk vs Novigrad
4:1
Oct 30, 2021 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs Krk
1:1
May 29, 2021 3. HNL West
Krk vs Novigrad
1:3
Nov 14, 2020 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs Krk
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krk 58 / 100
Novigrad 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krk Novigrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krk's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 44 recent games.

Novigrad let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Novigrad lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Krk VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Krk

(Home)
01 Jun
Krk
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
25 May
Trnje
2 : 1
Krk
18 May
Krk
0 : 1
Mladost Zdralovi
11 May
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 1
Krk
04 May
Krk
2 : 2
Dragovoljac
Page 1 of 9

Novigrad

(Away)
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Jadran Porec
0 : 0
Novigrad
14 May
Novigrad
2 : 3
Rudar Labin
07 May
Krk
4 : 1
Novigrad
30 Apr
Novigrad
3 : 3
Grobnican
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)