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Krumovgrad vs Neftochimic Burgas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East Nikola Shterev - Starika Sports Complex, Plovdiv
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East game between Krumovgrad and Neftochimic Burgas finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Krumovgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Krumovgrad
15%
Draws
42%
Neftochimic Burgas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Krumovgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Neftochimic Burgas come out ahead of Krumovgrad on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Krumovgrad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Krumovgrad Clean Sheet 14%
Neftochimic Burgas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krumovgrad Neftochimic Burgas
Matches Played 9 27
Wins 8 16
Draws 0 6
Losses 1 5
Goals Scored 3 1.7
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Third League - South-East
Krumovgrad vs Neftochimic Burgas
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krumovgrad 57 / 100
Neftochimic Burgas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krumovgrad Neftochimic Burgas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krumovgrad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krumovgrad found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (9 games).

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Krumovgrad stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Neftochimic Burgas conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Krumovgrad VS Neftochimic Burgas
3.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Krumovgrad

(Home)
03 Oct
Krumovgrad
1 : 2
Spartak Pleven
26 Sept
Gigant Saedinenie
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
19 Sept
Maritsa Milevo
0 : 4
Krumovgrad
12 Sept
Krumovgrad
6 : 1
Sekirovo Rakovski
06 Sept
Botev II
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
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Neftochimic Burgas

(Away)
04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1
Svoge
26 Sept
Yambol 1915
0 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Zagorets
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Maritsa Milevo 9 7 0 2 21:11 21
3 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
4 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
5 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
6 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
7 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
8 Sozopol 9 4 1 4 19:17 13
9 Rozova Dolina 9 2 6 1 14:13 12
10 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 9 2 2 5 12:16 8
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 9 2 1 6 10:22 7
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 9 0 2 7 5:17 2
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