Sport Picks

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Krumovgrad vs Svoge

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Nikola Shterev - Starika Sports Complex, Plovdiv
Sat, Mar 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Krumovgrad host Svoge in the Vtora liga 2025/2026. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Krumovgrad at 3.43 goals for, 1 against; Svoge at 0.7 for, 1.3 against. Head-to-head, Krumovgrad have won 1 to Svoge's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 0.81) point toward Krumovgrad. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Krumovgrad
20%
Draws
20%
Svoge
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Krumovgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Svoge come out ahead of Krumovgrad on wins alone.
  • Krumovgrad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Vtora liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Krumovgrad Clean Sheet 20%
Svoge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krumovgrad Svoge
Matches Played 7 27
Wins 7 8
Draws 0 5
Losses 0 14
Goals Scored 3.43 0.7
Goals Conceded 1 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Vtora liga
Krumovgrad vs Svoge
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Krumovgrad
0:0
Feb 13, 2023 Vtora liga
Krumovgrad vs Svoge
0:0
Jul 16, 2022 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Krumovgrad
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krumovgrad 85 / 100
Svoge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krumovgrad Svoge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krumovgrad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krumovgrad's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Recent resilience: Krumovgrad stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Svoge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Krumovgrad VS Svoge
3 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Krumovgrad

(Home)
19 Sept
Maritsa Milevo
0 : 4
Krumovgrad
12 Sept
Krumovgrad
6 : 1
Sekirovo Rakovski
06 Sept
Botev II
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
29 Aug
Krumovgrad
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
22 Aug
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 3
Krumovgrad
Page 1 of 2

Svoge

(Away)
21 Sept
Svoge
3 : 2
Vihren
13 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Svoge
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
02 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1
Svoge
29 Aug
Svoge
0 : 0
Marek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 32 20 9 3 53:16 69
2 Yantra Gabrovo 32 18 10 4 45:24 64
3 Fratria 32 18 9 5 61:29 63
4 Vihren 32 17 7 8 59:34 58
5 CSKA Sofia II 32 16 7 9 57:32 55
6 Chernomorets 1919 32 11 13 8 38:32 46
7 Etar 32 11 11 10 39:43 44
8 Ludogorets II 32 11 8 13 41:43 41
9 Marek 32 10 11 11 27:35 41
10 Hebar 32 11 7 14 41:51 40
11 Pirin Blagoevgrad 32 9 11 12 38:41 38
12 Spartak Pleven 32 9 8 15 37:45 35
13 Svoge 32 9 7 16 28:48 34
14 Gorna 32 8 9 15 33:52 33
15 Sevlievo 32 9 5 18 29:52 32
16 Minyor Pernik 32 7 9 16 32:45 30
17 Belasitsa Petrich 32 4 7 21 26:62 19
Promotion - efbet League (Main)
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)