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Krumovgrad vs Zagorets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East Nikola Shterev - Starika Sports Complex, Plovdiv
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Krumovgrad host Zagorets in the Third League - South-East. Krumovgrad are expected to control this from the start. Krumovgrad have averaged 3 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Zagorets's 1.39 scored and 2.21 conceded. Head-to-head, Krumovgrad have won 2 to Zagorets's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 21, 2022, ending 1:3. xG projections (2.56 - 1.19) back Krumovgrad to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Krumovgrad
15%
Draws
17%
Zagorets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Krumovgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Zagorets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Krumovgrad a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Krumovgrad Clean Sheet 20%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krumovgrad Zagorets
Matches Played 9 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 0 4
Losses 1 15
Goals Scored 3 1.39
Goals Conceded 1 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2022 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Krumovgrad
1:3
Oct 16, 2021 Third League - South-East
Krumovgrad vs Zagorets
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krumovgrad 85 / 100
Zagorets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krumovgrad Zagorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krumovgrad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krumovgrad found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (9 games).

Defensive concern: Zagorets conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Krumovgrad has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Krumovgrad VS Zagorets
3.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Krumovgrad

(Home)
03 Oct
Krumovgrad
1 : 2
Spartak Pleven
26 Sept
Gigant Saedinenie
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
19 Sept
Maritsa Milevo
0 : 4
Krumovgrad
12 Sept
Krumovgrad
6 : 1
Sekirovo Rakovski
06 Sept
Botev II
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
Page 1 of 2

Zagorets

(Away)
04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4
Rilski Sportist
26 Sept
Zagorets
0 : 3
Botev II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Zagorets
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3
Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Maritsa Milevo 9 7 0 2 21:11 21
3 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
4 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
5 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
6 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
7 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
8 Sozopol 9 4 1 4 19:17 13
9 Rozova Dolina 9 2 6 1 14:13 12
10 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 9 2 2 5 12:16 8
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 9 2 1 6 10:22 7
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 9 0 2 7 5:17 2
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)