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Kruoja vs Granitas Klaipeda Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2015
Sat, Oct 17, 2015
0 - 3
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kruoja host Granitas Klaipeda in the A Lyga 2015. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Kruoja have averaged 0.4 scored and 2.37 conceded recently, against Granitas Klaipeda's 1 scored and 2.33 conceded. Head-to-head, Kruoja have won 2 to Granitas Klaipeda's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2015, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 2.04 vs 2.25, favoring Granitas Klaipeda. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kruoja
15%
Draws
85%
Granitas Klaipeda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Granitas Klaipeda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Granitas Klaipeda come out ahead of Kruoja on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular A Lyga 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kruoja Clean Sheet 10%
Granitas Klaipeda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kruoja Granitas Klaipeda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 4
Draws 6 9
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 0.4 1
Goals Conceded 2.37 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2015 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs Granitas Klaipeda
0:3
Aug 6, 2015 TOPLYGA
Granitas Klaipeda vs Kruoja
2:0
May 17, 2015 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs Granitas Klaipeda
1:1
Mar 19, 2015 TOPLYGA
Granitas Klaipeda vs Kruoja
0:3
Oct 19, 2014 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs Granitas Klaipeda
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kruoja 30 / 100
Granitas Klaipeda 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kruoja Granitas Klaipeda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Granitas Klaipeda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Granitas Klaipeda conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Granitas Klaipeda lost 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Kruoja scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Kruoja VS Granitas Klaipeda
0 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kruoja

(Home)
28 Nov
FC Stumbras
3 : 0
Kruoja
21 Nov
Kruoja
0 : 3
Atlantas
09 Nov
Zalgiris
3 : 0
Kruoja
30 Oct
Kruoja
0 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris
24 Oct
Siauliai
3 : 0
Kruoja
Page 1 of 6

Granitas Klaipeda

(Away)
28 Nov
Siauliai
3 : 0
Granitas Klaipeda
22 Nov
Granitas Klaipeda
0 : 3
FC Stumbras
10 Nov
Granitas Klaipeda
1 : 2
Utenis
30 Oct
Riteriai
3 : 0
Granitas Klaipeda
25 Oct
Granitas Klaipeda
1 : 8
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zalgiris 36 31 1 4 104:25 94
2 Riteriai 36 27 3 6 92:33 84
3 Atlantas 36 21 7 8 65:34 70
4 Suduva 36 21 4 11 76:34 67
5 FK Kauno Zalgiris 36 13 6 17 47:74 45
6 Utenis 36 11 9 16 41:50 42
7 FC Stumbras 36 11 8 17 51:74 41
8 Granitas Klaipeda 36 6 9 21 37:83 27
9 Siauliai 36 5 5 26 37:94 20
10 Kruoja 36 4 8 24 23:72 20
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