Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kruoja vs Utenis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2015
Kruoja Logo

Kruoja

2 - 1
FT
Utenis Logo

Utenis

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Fridrikas M.
29'
Flyak Y.
46'
Sub
Beniusis R. In: Birskys T.
Out: Beniusis R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The A Lyga 2015 game between Kruoja and Utenis finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kruoja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kruoja
15%
Draws
85%
Utenis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Utenis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Utenis come out ahead of Kruoja on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular A Lyga 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Kruoja Clean Sheet 16%
Utenis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kruoja Utenis
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 1 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 0.4 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2015 TOPLYGA
Utenis vs Kruoja
3:0
Jul 30, 2015 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs Utenis
2:1
May 12, 2015 TOPLYGA
Utenis vs Kruoja
0:0
Mar 15, 2015 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs Utenis
1:0
Oct 4, 2008 I Lyga
Kruoja vs Utenis
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kruoja Compare

Top Goalscorer Birskys T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eliosius T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Utenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Savastas L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kruoja 31 / 100
Utenis 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kruoja Utenis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Utenis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utenis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 40 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Utenis lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Kruoja scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Utenis
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kruoja

(Home)
28 Nov
FC Stumbras
3 : 0
Kruoja
21 Nov
Kruoja
0 : 3
Atlantas
09 Nov
Zalgiris
3 : 0
Kruoja
30 Oct
Kruoja
0 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris
24 Oct
Siauliai
3 : 0
Kruoja
Page 1 of 6

Utenis

(Away)
29 Apr
Utenis
1 : 5
Tauras Taurage
07 May
Utenis
0 : 5
FK Panevezys
22 May
Utenis
0 : 3
Silute
30 Jun
Utenis
0 : 2
FK Sveikata Kybartai
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1
Atlantas
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zalgiris 36 31 1 4 104:25 94
2 Riteriai 36 27 3 6 92:33 84
3 Atlantas 36 21 7 8 65:34 70
4 Suduva 36 21 4 11 76:34 67
5 FK Kauno Zalgiris 36 13 6 17 47:74 45
6 Utenis 36 11 9 16 41:50 42
7 FC Stumbras 36 11 8 17 51:74 41
8 Granitas Klaipeda 36 6 9 21 37:83 27
9 Siauliai 36 5 5 26 37:94 20
10 Kruoja 36 4 8 24 23:72 20
Promotion - Champions League 2016/2017 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2016/2017 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2016/2017 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2016/2017 (Qualification)