Sport Picks

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS 2022/2023 Gradski Stadion Krupa

Tekstilac Derventa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Krupa play Tekstilac Derventa in the Prva Liga - RS 2022/2023. Krupa are favorites here. Recently, Krupa averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Tekstilac Derventa averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Krupa won 3, Tekstilac Derventa won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 29, 2023 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Krupa and 0.63 for Tekstilac Derventa. This points to a Krupa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Krupa

25%

Draws

19%

Tekstilac Derventa

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Krupa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

Krupa picked up more points recently compared to Tekstilac Derventa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 0.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Krupa Clean Sheet 29%

Tekstilac Derventa Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Krupa	Tekstilac Derventa
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	21	7
Draws	4	7
Losses	5	17
Goals Scored	2.4	0.87
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.68
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 Prva Liga - RS

Krupa vs Tekstilac Derventa

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

4:0

Oct 5, 2022 Prva Liga - RS

Tekstilac Derventa vs Krupa

Possession: 53% - 48% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Apr 9, 2022 Prva Liga - RS

Tekstilac Derventa vs Krupa

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 4 - 4

1:1

Sep 25, 2021 Prva Liga - RS

Krupa vs Tekstilac Derventa

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Mar 28, 2020 Prva Liga - RS

Krupa vs Tekstilac Derventa

Possession: 41% - 60% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krupa Compare

Top Goalscorer Lelli G. B.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Hadzic D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Tekstilac Derventa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krupa 56 / 100

Tekstilac Derventa 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Krupa Tekstilac Derventa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krupa Win (1)

Secondary Pick Krupa & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.5%

2.08

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Krupa attacking → ← attacking Tekstilac Derventa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krupa scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Tekstilac Derventa let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Krupa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tekstilac Derventa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 28

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Krupa	34	27	4	3	98:24	85
2	Zvijezda 09	34	20	9	5	77:26	69
3	Laktasi	34	22	3	9	76:34	69
4	Slavija	34	15	10	9	56:40	55
5	Sloboda Novi Grad	34	16	7	11	51:42	55
6	Rudar Prijedor	34	14	11	9	48:34	53
7	Radnik Bijeljina	34	15	8	11	47:33	53
8	Sutjeska Foca	34	14	4	16	48:60	46
9	Kozara	34	12	7	15	48:56	43
10	Zeljeznicar Banja Luka	34	12	7	15	41:57	43
11	Ljubic Prnjavor	34	13	2	19	41:66	41
12	Famos Vojkovici	34	12	4	18	40:53	40
13	Mrkonjic Grad	34	11	7	16	45:59	40
14	Omarska	34	11	5	18	42:76	38
15	Zvornik	34	12	2	20	44:53	38
16	Modrica	34	10	3	21	32:73	33
17	Podrinje Janja	34	8	7	19	38:62	31
18	Tekstilac Derventa	34	7	10	17	28:52	31