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Krya Vrysi vs Kilkisiakos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Krya Vrysi play Kilkisiakos in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Krya Vrysi averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Kilkisiakos averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Krya Vrysi won 2, Kilkisiakos won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 5, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Krya Vrysi and 1.75 for Kilkisiakos. This points to a Krya Vrysi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Krya Vrysi
32%
Draws
33%
Kilkisiakos
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Krya Vrysi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Krya Vrysi picked up more points recently compared to Kilkisiakos.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Krya Vrysi Clean Sheet 12%
Kilkisiakos Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krya Vrysi Kilkisiakos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Krya Vrysi vs Kilkisiakos
1:2
Feb 15, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Krya Vrysi vs Kilkisiakos
4:0
Nov 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kilkisiakos vs Krya Vrysi
0:1
Feb 12, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kilkisiakos vs Krya Vrysi
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Krya Vrysi vs Kilkisiakos
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krya Vrysi 34 / 100
Kilkisiakos 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krya Vrysi Kilkisiakos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Krya Vrysi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Krya Vrysi attacking → ← attacking Kilkisiakos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krya Vrysi scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Kilkisiakos let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Krya Vrysi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kilkisiakos lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 38
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Panthrakikos22163352:1651
2Xanthi22128248:1744
3Doxa Dramas22134541:2543
4Iraklis Thermaikou22108431:1838
5Poseidonas Michanionas22810428:2234
6Aetos Ofryniou22103937:3733
7PAOK Kristonis2278724:2829
8Krya Vrysi2268829:3026
9Thermaikos FC22641219:3222
10Kilkisiakos22561126:3821
11PAOK Dytikou22371221:4216
12Orestis Orestiadas22112012:634