Sport Picks
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Baltika - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Premier League Samara Arena, Samara 
Match Events
3'
3'
Civic E.
Assist: Mourid A.
46'
46'
Sub
Banjac M. In: Kramaric M.
Out: Banjac M.
54'
54'
Sub
Offor C. In: Gil B.
Out: Offor C.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Krylya Sovetov Samara and Baltika finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baltika.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Krylya Sovetov Samara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Baltika carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Krylya Sovetov Samara taking it.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 68%
Baltika Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Krylya Sovetov Samara | Baltika |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Russian Cup
Baltika vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
0:1
Aug 8, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Baltika
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Baltika
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Baltika vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
2:0
Aug 9, 2025 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Baltika
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Krylya Sovetov Samara Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Baltika Compare
Top Goalscorer Civic E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gil B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Krylya Sovetov Samara 95 / 100
Baltika 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Krylya Sovetov Samara Baltika
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Krylya Sovetov Samara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Krylya Sovetov Samara stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Krylya Sovetov Samara found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).
Baltika's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Krylya Sovetov Samara VS Baltika
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Krylya Sovetov Samara
(Home) 02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0 Akron Togliatti
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0 Akron Togliatti
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
19 Aug
Krylya Sovetov Samara
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
16 Aug
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 4 Dynamo Makhachkala
Page 1 of 3
Baltika
(Away) 16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3 Zenit St Petersburg
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
30 Aug
Rodina Moscow
0 : 3 Baltika
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
30 Aug
Rodina Moscow
0 : 3 Baltika
08 Aug
Krylya Sovetov Samara
0 : 2 Baltika
05 Aug
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 0 Baltika
24 Jul
CSKA Moscow
2 : 1 Baltika
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Zenit St Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 9 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 12 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11:19 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
