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Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Dynamo Makhachkala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Samara Arena, Samara
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Alarcon A.
9'
Alibekov M.
16'
Pechenin K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Krylya Sovetov Samara and Dynamo Makhachkala finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dynamo Makhachkala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Krylya Sovetov Samara
20%
Draws
28%
Dynamo Makhachkala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Krylya Sovetov Samara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Dynamo Makhachkala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Krylya Sovetov Samara a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 68%
Dynamo Makhachkala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krylya Sovetov Samara Dynamo Makhachkala
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.54 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Dynamo Makhachkala
1:4
Aug 4, 2026 Russian Cup
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Dynamo Makhachkala
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
2:0
Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krylya Sovetov Samara Compare

Top Goalscorer Oleynikov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Dynamo Makhachkala Compare

Top Goalscorer Alarcon A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Glushkov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krylya Sovetov Samara 95 / 100
Dynamo Makhachkala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krylya Sovetov Samara Dynamo Makhachkala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krylya Sovetov Samara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Krylya Sovetov Samara scored in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Dynamo Makhachkala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Krylya Sovetov Samara stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Krylya Sovetov Samara VS Dynamo Makhachkala
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Krylya Sovetov Samara

(Home)
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0
Akron Togliatti
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2
Krasnodar
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
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Dynamo Makhachkala

(Away)
10 Oct
Orenburg
4 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
03 Oct
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 2
Leningradets
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
7 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
9 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
10 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
11 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
12 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
13 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)