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Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Dynamo Makhachkala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Samara Arena, Samara
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Krylya Sovetov Samara at 1.44 goals for, 1.37 against; Dynamo Makhachkala at 1.29 for, 1.64 against. Past meetings favor Dynamo Makhachkala slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 1:4. xG projections (1.81 - 1.19) back Krylya Sovetov Samara to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Krylya Sovetov Samara
20%
Draws
29%
Dynamo Makhachkala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Krylya Sovetov Samara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Krylya Sovetov Samara's 1.44 goals per match outpaces what Dynamo Makhachkala have produced (1.29).
  • Krylya Sovetov Samara are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Dynamo Makhachkala, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 68%
Dynamo Makhachkala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krylya Sovetov Samara Dynamo Makhachkala
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.44 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Dynamo Makhachkala
1:4
Aug 4, 2026 Russian Cup
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Dynamo Makhachkala
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
2:0
Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krylya Sovetov Samara 86 / 100
Dynamo Makhachkala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krylya Sovetov Samara Dynamo Makhachkala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krylya Sovetov Samara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dynamo Makhachkala has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Krylya Sovetov Samara has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Krylya Sovetov Samara VS Dynamo Makhachkala
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Krylya Sovetov Samara

(Home)
24 Oct
Rubin Kazan
0 : 2
Krylya Sovetov Samara
17 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 2
Fakel Voronezh
14 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
0 : 2
Baltika
10 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 1
Spartak Moscow
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0
Akron Togliatti
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Dynamo Makhachkala

(Away)
25 Oct
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
17 Oct
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 1
Akron Togliatti
14 Oct
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 2
Zenit St Petersburg
10 Oct
Orenburg
4 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
03 Oct
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 2
Leningradets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 4 3 0 1 13:5 10
2 Orenburg 4 2 0 2 10:8 7
3 Rubin Kazan 4 2 0 2 3:11 4
4 Rodina Moscow 4 1 0 3 9:11 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Moscow 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
2 Krasnodar 4 3 0 1 3:4 7
3 Akhmat Grozny 4 1 0 3 4:7 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 4 1 0 3 4:4 4
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 4 4 0 0 6:1 11
2 Baltika 4 2 0 2 3:2 6
3 Krylya Sovetov Samara 4 2 0 2 2:3 6
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 4 0 0 4 3:8 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
2 Akron Togliatti 4 3 0 1 2:5 7
3 CSKA Moscow 4 2 0 2 5:4 5
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 4 0 0 4 2:3 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)