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Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Zenit St Petersburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Samara Arena, Samara
Wed, Aug 19, 2026
0 - 1
01:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Oroz D.
59'
Sub
Mostovoy A. In: Jhon Jhon
Out: Mostovoy A.
59'
Sub
Karavaev V. In: Vega R.
Out: Karavaev V.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Krylya Sovetov Samara
30%
Draws
44%
Zenit St Petersburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zenit St Petersburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zenit St Petersburg come out ahead of Krylya Sovetov Samara on wins alone.
  • 26% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Zenit St Petersburg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zenit St Petersburg, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 19%
Zenit St Petersburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krylya Sovetov Samara Zenit St Petersburg
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 22
Draws 9 3
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.52 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Russian Cup
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Zenit St Petersburg
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Zenit St Petersburg
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
2:3
Jul 20, 2024 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Zenit St Petersburg
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krylya Sovetov Samara 31 / 100
Zenit St Petersburg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krylya Sovetov Samara Zenit St Petersburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krylya Sovetov Samara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krylya Sovetov Samara's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Krylya Sovetov Samara has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Zenit St Petersburg has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Krylya Sovetov Samara VS Zenit St Petersburg
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Krylya Sovetov Samara

(Home)
10 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 1
Spartak Moscow
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0
Akron Togliatti
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2
Krasnodar
Page 1 of 6

Zenit St Petersburg

(Away)
10 Oct
Krasnodar
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
04 Oct
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 0
BATE
27 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg
16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 3 2 0 1 9:3 7
2 Rubin Kazan 3 2 0 1 2:7 4
3 Orenburg 3 1 0 2 6:7 4
4 Rodina Moscow 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
2 Dynamo Moscow 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Akhmat Grozny 3 1 0 2 3:5 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Baltika 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Akron Togliatti 3 2 0 1 1:4 5
3 CSKA Moscow 3 1 0 2 1:4 2
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 0 0 3 1:2 2
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)