Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Baltyk Koszalin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Forczmanski J.
(Penalty)
35' Event
Ginter S.
44' Event
Hoffmann J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
KS Mieszko Gniezno
6%
Draws
90%
Baltyk Koszalin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baltyk Koszalin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baltyk Koszalin lately — more wins on the board than KS Mieszko Gniezno.
  • Win probability leans Baltyk Koszalin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
KS Mieszko Gniezno Clean Sheet 10%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KS Mieszko Gniezno Baltyk Koszalin
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 0 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 25 17
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 3.67 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.67 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2021 III Liga - Group II
KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Baltyk Koszalin
2:2
Oct 4, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs KS Mieszko Gniezno
7:1
May 16, 2020 III Liga - Group II
KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Baltyk Koszalin
0:0
Oct 12, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs KS Mieszko Gniezno
1:4
May 29, 2019 III Liga - Group II
KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Baltyk Koszalin
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KS Mieszko Gniezno Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoffmann J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Baltyk Koszalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ginter S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KS Mieszko Gniezno 10 / 100
Baltyk Koszalin 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KS Mieszko Gniezno Baltyk Koszalin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Baltyk Koszalin conceded in 82% of 39 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Baltyk Koszalin's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

KS Mieszko Gniezno scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

KS Mieszko Gniezno VS Baltyk Koszalin
1.17 Goals Scored 1
3.67 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 25%
83% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

KS Mieszko Gniezno

(Home)
11 Jul
Polonia Slubice
3 : 1
KS Mieszko Gniezno
07 Feb
KS Mieszko Gniezno
2 : 2
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Feb
Unia Swarzedz
5 : 2
KS Mieszko Gniezno
25 Jan
KS Mieszko Gniezno
1 : 2
Kleczew
10 Oct
KS Mieszko Gniezno
1 : 6
Warta Poznan
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Baltyk Koszalin

(Away)
18 Jul
Swinoujscie
1 : 2
Baltyk Koszalin
25 Jan
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
23 Jul
Gryf Slupsk
3 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
18 Jun
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
11 Jun
Pogon Szczecin II
3 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
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