Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Gwardia Koszalin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Gross A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between KS Mieszko Gniezno and Gwardia Koszalin finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gwardia Koszalin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
KS Mieszko Gniezno
6%
Draws
90%
Gwardia Koszalin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gwardia Koszalin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • KS Mieszko Gniezno haven't matched Gwardia Koszalin's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gwardia Koszalin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
KS Mieszko Gniezno Clean Sheet 10%
Gwardia Koszalin Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KS Mieszko Gniezno Gwardia Koszalin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 0 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 4.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2021 III Liga - Group II
KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Gwardia Koszalin
0:1
Mar 6, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Gwardia Koszalin vs KS Mieszko Gniezno
2:0
Apr 25, 2020 III Liga - Group II
KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Gwardia Koszalin
0:0
Sep 21, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Gwardia Koszalin vs KS Mieszko Gniezno
0:2
Mar 30, 2019 III Liga - Group II
KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Gwardia Koszalin
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KS Mieszko Gniezno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Gwardia Koszalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Gross A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KS Mieszko Gniezno 10 / 100
Gwardia Koszalin 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KS Mieszko Gniezno Gwardia Koszalin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GWA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwardia Koszalin has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Gwardia Koszalin registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: KS Mieszko Gniezno scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

KS Mieszko Gniezno VS Gwardia Koszalin
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KS Mieszko Gniezno

(Home)
11 Jul
Polonia Slubice
3 : 1
KS Mieszko Gniezno
07 Feb
KS Mieszko Gniezno
2 : 2
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Feb
Unia Swarzedz
5 : 2
KS Mieszko Gniezno
25 Jan
KS Mieszko Gniezno
1 : 2
Kleczew
10 Oct
KS Mieszko Gniezno
1 : 6
Warta Poznan
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Gwardia Koszalin

(Away)
08 Feb
Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
0 : 1
Gwardia Koszalin
01 Feb
Gwardia Koszalin
3 : 0
Gryf Slupsk
26 Jun
Unia Janikowo
5 : 2
Gwardia Koszalin
19 Jun
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 0
Gwardia Koszalin
12 Jun
Gwardia Koszalin
2 : 6
Kleczew
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