Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Polonia Warszawa

Poland Poland

Division 1 2025/2026 Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Kraków
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Cisse S.
26' Event
Feiertag S.
Assist: Fila K.
31' Event
Durmus I.
Assist: Zjawinski L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with KS Wieczysta Krakow advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
KS Wieczysta Krakow
33%
Draws
27%
Polonia Warszawa
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: KS Wieczysta Krakow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • KS Wieczysta Krakow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans KS Wieczysta Krakow's way, sitting at 40%.
  • KS Wieczysta Krakow have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Polonia Warszawa, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and KS Wieczysta Krakow have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
KS Wieczysta Krakow Clean Sheet 16%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KS Wieczysta Krakow Polonia Warszawa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Division 1
KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Polonia Warszawa
3:2
Mar 2, 2026 Division 1
KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Polonia Warszawa
1:2
Aug 19, 2025 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs KS Wieczysta Krakow
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KS Wieczysta Krakow Compare

Top Goalscorer Feiertag S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Semedo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Polonia Warszawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Durmus I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skrabb S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KS Wieczysta Krakow 39 / 100
Polonia Warszawa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KS Wieczysta Krakow Polonia Warszawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KS Wieczysta Krakow scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Polonia Warszawa has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Polonia Warszawa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

KS Wieczysta Krakow VS Polonia Warszawa
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KS Wieczysta Krakow

(Home)
18 Jul
KS Wieczysta Krakow
0 : 1
Netanya
10 Jul
KS Wieczysta Krakow
2 : 0
Ruch Chorzow
05 Jul
KS Wieczysta Krakow
2 : 2
Slavia Prague
02 Jul
KS Wieczysta Krakow
1 : 2
Artis Brno
28 Jun
KS Wieczysta Krakow
2 : 4
Dynamo Kyiv
Page 1 of 6

Polonia Warszawa

(Away)
18 Jul
Polonia Warszawa
3 : 2
Zawisza
15 Jul
Polonia Warszawa
0 : 2
Zlin
11 Jul
Motor Lublin
2 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
11 Jul
Pelikan
0 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
04 Jul
Wisla Plock
3 : 0
Polonia Warszawa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
KS Wieczysta Krakow3
Polonia Warszawa2
Chrobry Glogow2
LKS Lodz1
Final
KS Wieczysta Krakow2
Chrobry Glogow1