Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KS Wierzyca Pelplin vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KS Wierzyca Pelplin play Polonia Sroda Wielkopol in the III Liga - Group II 2018/2019. Polonia Sroda Wielkopol are favorites here. Recently, KS Wierzyca Pelplin averaged 1.14 goals scored and 2.69 conceded. Polonia Sroda Wielkopol averaged 2.11 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, KS Wierzyca Pelplin won 1, Polonia Sroda Wielkopol won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 25, 2019 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for KS Wierzyca Pelplin and 1.74 for Polonia Sroda Wielkopol. This points to a Polonia Sroda Wielkopol double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
KS Wierzyca Pelplin
15%
Draws
74%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • KS Wierzyca Pelplin picked up more points recently compared to Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.74 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
KS Wierzyca Pelplin Clean Sheet 12%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KS Wierzyca Pelplin Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 2 22
Draws 4 6
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 1.14 2.11
Goals Conceded 2.69 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2019 III Liga - Group II
KS Wierzyca Pelplin vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:2
Oct 27, 2018 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs KS Wierzyca Pelplin
3:0
May 5, 2018 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs KS Wierzyca Pelplin
2:0
Oct 7, 2017 III Liga - Group II
KS Wierzyca Pelplin vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KS Wierzyca Pelplin 12 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 69 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KS Wierzyca Pelplin Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +266.6%
33.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

KS Wierzyca Pelplin attacking → ← attacking Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KS Wierzyca Pelplin scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol let in goals in 68% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

KS Wierzyca Pelplin went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 72
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lech Poznan II34236586:3375
2KKS Kalisz34216770:3769
3Stezyca34216775:3769
4Kotwica Kolobrzeg34208670:4168
5KS Mieszko Gniezno341941174:5361
6Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341931259:4460
7Swit Szczecin341610850:3358
8B. Gdynia341831359:5057
9Kleczew341651348:5053
10Starogard Gdanski341491156:3751
11Pogon Szczecin II341431752:5945
12Gornik Konin341251746:5641
13Baltyk Koszalin341241857:7540
14Jarocin341081637:5038
15Gwardia Koszalin341032135:7133
16Chemik Bydgoszcz34932238:6630
17KS Wierzyca Pelplin34352634:8114
18Wda Swiecie34152820:938