Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Abdessalem Z.
24'
24'
Montassar H.
61'
61'
Mbarek H.
AI Match Summary
Ksour Essef in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ksour Essef.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bouchamma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Bouchamma lately — more wins on the board than Ksour Essef.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Bouchamma taking it.
- Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ksour Essef Clean Sheet 12%
Bouchamma Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ksour Essef | Bouchamma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Ligue 2
Bouchamma vs Ksour Essef
4:1
Nov 16, 2025 Ligue 2
Ksour Essef vs Bouchamma
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ksour Essef Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdessalem Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Montassar H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Bouchamma Compare
Top Goalscorer Mbarek H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ksour Essef 11 / 100
Bouchamma 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ksour Essef Bouchamma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.
Ksour Essef found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Bouchamma conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Ksour Essef stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ksour Essef VS Bouchamma
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ksour Essef
(Home) 12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2 Kalaa
28 Apr
Moknine
2 : 1 Ksour Essef
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2 Gafsa
11 Apr
Bouchamma
4 : 1 Ksour Essef
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2 Kalaa
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2 Gafsa
05 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2 Sidi Bouzid
27 Feb
Ksour Essef
2 : 1 Jendouba Sport
08 Feb
Ksour Essef
2 : 0 Gafsa
Page 1 of 3
Bouchamma
(Away) 12 May
Bouchamma
1 : 1 Korba
02 May
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 2 Bouchamma
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0 Ariana
22 Apr
Jendouba Sport
2 : 1 Bouchamma
11 Apr
Bouchamma
4 : 1 Ksour Essef
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 2 Bouchamma
22 Apr
Jendouba Sport
2 : 1 Bouchamma
04 Apr
Redeyef
2 : 0 Bouchamma
27 Feb
Djelma
1 : 1 Bouchamma
15 Feb
Kasserine
0 : 1 Bouchamma
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
