Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Belguith M.
24'
24'
Boussaidi K.
55'
55'
Maaref Y.
AI Match Summary
Stade Gabesien in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stade Gabesien.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stade Gabesien
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Stade Gabesien have won more games recently than Ksour Essef.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ksour Essef Clean Sheet 10%
Stade Gabesien Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ksour Essef | Stade Gabesien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026 Ligue 2
Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien
2:3
Oct 5, 2025 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Ksour Essef
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ksour Essef Compare
Top Goalscorer Belguith M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Maaref Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Stade Gabesien Compare
Top Goalscorer Boussaidi K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Maddaoui K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ksour Essef 34 / 100
Stade Gabesien 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ksour Essef Stade Gabesien
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stade Gabesien Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Ksour Essef's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Stade Gabesien has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.
Ksour Essef went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ksour Essef VS Stade Gabesien
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ksour Essef
(Home) 10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0 Ksour Essef
26 Aug
Ksour Essef
4 : 3 Stade Soussien
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2 Kalaa
28 Apr
Moknine
2 : 1 Ksour Essef
Page 1 of 6
26 Aug
Ksour Essef
4 : 3 Stade Soussien
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2 Kalaa
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2 Gafsa
05 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2 Sidi Bouzid
27 Feb
Ksour Essef
2 : 1 Jendouba Sport
Page 1 of 3
Stade Gabesien
(Away) 30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Stade Gabesien
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 US Tataouine
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1 Stade Gabesien
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0 Stade Gabesien
02 May
Stade Gabesien
0 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 7
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Stade Gabesien
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1 Stade Gabesien
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0 Stade Gabesien
28 Apr
Kasserine
1 : 1 Stade Gabesien
11 Apr
Moknine
0 : 2 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
