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KTP vs Ekenas IF

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Arto Tolsa Areena, Kotka
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Coker M.
Assist: Tanaka A.
32'
Tahmbi N.
33' Event
Veinbergs N.
Assist: Lucas Kaufmann

AI Match Summary

The Ykkosliiga game between KTP and Ekenas IF finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KTP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
KTP
6%
Draws
4%
Ekenas IF
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: KTP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • KTP carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives KTP a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ykkosliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
KTP Clean Sheet 20%
Ekenas IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTP Ekenas IF
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 2
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs Ekenas IF
5:1
May 3, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Ekenas IF vs KTP
5:2
Mar 9, 2025 Club Friendly
KTP vs Ekenas IF
0:0
Jun 21, 2023 Suomen Cup
KTP vs Ekenas IF
3:0
Oct 2, 2022 Ykkosliiga
Ekenas IF vs KTP
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KTP Compare

Top Goalscorer Forsell P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Coker M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Ekenas IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Veinbergs N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTP 85 / 100
Ekenas IF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTP Ekenas IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KTP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KTP scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Ekenas IF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

KTP has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KTP VS Ekenas IF
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KTP

(Home)
18 Jul
KTP
0 : 1
PK-35
10 Jul
KTP
4 : 1
JaPS
03 Jul
KTP
3 : 3
Jippo
27 Jun
Haka
0 : 2
KTP
12 Jun
KTP
5 : 1
Ekenas IF
Page 1 of 6

Ekenas IF

(Away)
18 Jul
Ekenas IF
0 : 1
JaPS
11 Jul
Haka
3 : 1
Ekenas IF
04 Jul
Ekenas IF
0 : 3
PK-35
27 Jun
Jippo
1 : 1
Ekenas IF
12 Jun
KTP
5 : 1
Ekenas IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PK-3515103225:833
2KTP15102325:1532
3Jippo1576222:1127
4Haka1574426:1725
5JaPS1571714:2322
6Mikkelin1552814:1917
7KaPa1544717:2416
8Ekenas IF1551921:3016
9Klubi 041526714:1812
10SJK Akatemia151597:208
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)