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KTP vs Ekenas IF

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Arto Tolsa Areena, Kotka
KTP Logo

KTP

5 - 1
FT
Ekenas IF Logo

Ekenas IF

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Coker M.
Assist: Tanaka A.
32'
Tahmbi N.
33' Event
Veinbergs N.
Assist: Lucas Kaufmann
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ykkosliiga game between KTP and Ekenas IF finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KTP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
KTP
20%
Draws
9%
Ekenas IF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KTP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • KTP carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives KTP a 71% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ykkosliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
KTP Clean Sheet 20%
Ekenas IF Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTP Ekenas IF
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.79 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Ekenas IF vs KTP
0:1
Jun 12, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs Ekenas IF
5:1
May 3, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Ekenas IF vs KTP
5:2
Mar 9, 2025 Club Friendly
KTP vs Ekenas IF
0:0
Jun 21, 2023 Suomen Cup
KTP vs Ekenas IF
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KTP Compare

Top Goalscorer Forsell P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Coker M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ekenas IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Veinbergs N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTP 85 / 100
Ekenas IF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTP Ekenas IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KTP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KTP scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: KTP stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ekenas IF has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

KTP VS Ekenas IF
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KTP

(Home)
19 Sept
PK-35
0 : 3
KTP
11 Sept
KTP
3 : 0
JaPS
04 Sept
Jippo
0 : 2
KTP
28 Aug
KTP
2 : 1
Haka
22 Aug
Ekenas IF
0 : 1
KTP
Page 1 of 6

Ekenas IF

(Away)
18 Sept
JaPS
1 : 0
Ekenas IF
12 Sept
Ekenas IF
2 : 2
Haka
04 Sept
PK-35
0 : 0
Ekenas IF
29 Aug
Ekenas IF
0 : 2
Jippo
22 Aug
Ekenas IF
0 : 1
KTP
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTP 24 18 3 3 44:21 57
2 PK-35 24 14 6 4 41:18 48
3 Haka 24 13 5 6 45:26 44
4 Jippo 24 11 7 6 32:21 40
5 JaPS 24 11 2 11 22:34 35
6 Ekenas IF 24 8 4 12 28:36 28
7 Mikkelin 24 8 4 12 26:34 28
8 KaPa 24 5 6 13 27:43 21
9 Klubi 04 24 4 8 12 28:36 20
10 SJK Akatemia 24 2 7 15 16:40 13
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)