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KTP vs JaPS

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Arto Tolsa Areena, Kotka
4 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Salo J.
15' Event
Dahlfors O.
Assist: Pallas E.
23'
Paavola M.

AI Match Summary

The Ykkosliiga game between KTP and JaPS finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KTP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
KTP
15%
Draws
18%
JaPS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KTP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KTP come out ahead of JaPS on wins alone.
  • KTP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors KTP here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
KTP Clean Sheet 20%
JaPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTP JaPS
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 15
Draws 5 2
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.7 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs JaPS
3:0
Jul 10, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs JaPS
4:1
May 16, 2026 Ykkosliiga
JaPS vs KTP
0:1
Feb 9, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
KTP vs JaPS
3:0
Mar 9, 2025 Club Friendly
KTP vs JaPS
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KTP Compare

Top Goalscorer Coker M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Manneh F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

JaPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahlfors O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTP 85 / 100
JaPS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTP JaPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KTP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KTP found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

KTP has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

JaPS's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

KTP VS JaPS
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KTP

(Home)
11 Sept
KTP
3 : 0
JaPS
04 Sept
Jippo
0 : 2
KTP
28 Aug
KTP
2 : 1
Haka
22 Aug
Ekenas IF
0 : 1
KTP
15 Aug
KTP
2 : 1
KaPa
Page 1 of 6

JaPS

(Away)
11 Sept
KTP
3 : 0
JaPS
06 Sept
SJK Akatemia
2 : 3
JaPS
28 Aug
JaPS
0 : 0
KaPa
21 Aug
PK-35
3 : 0
JaPS
14 Aug
JaPS
1 : 2
Haka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTP 24 18 3 3 44:21 57
2 PK-35 24 14 6 4 41:18 48
3 Haka 24 13 5 6 45:26 44
4 Jippo 24 11 7 6 32:21 40
5 JaPS 24 11 2 11 22:34 35
6 Ekenas IF 24 8 4 12 28:36 28
7 Mikkelin 24 8 4 12 26:34 28
8 KaPa 24 5 6 13 27:43 21
9 Klubi 04 24 4 8 12 28:36 20
10 SJK Akatemia 24 2 7 15 16:40 13
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)