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KTP vs JaPS

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Arto Tolsa Areena, Kotka
4 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Salo J.
15' Event
Dahlfors O.
Assist: Pallas E.
23'
Paavola M.

AI Match Summary

The Ykkosliiga game between KTP and JaPS finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KTP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
KTP
6%
Draws
4%
JaPS
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: KTP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KTP come out ahead of JaPS on wins alone.
  • KTP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors KTP here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
KTP Clean Sheet 20%
JaPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTP JaPS
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs JaPS
4:1
May 16, 2026 Ykkosliiga
JaPS vs KTP
0:1
Feb 9, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
KTP vs JaPS
3:0
Mar 9, 2025 Club Friendly
KTP vs JaPS
2:0
Sep 13, 2024 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs JaPS
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KTP Compare

Top Goalscorer Coker M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Manneh F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

JaPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahlfors O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTP 85 / 100
JaPS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTP JaPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KTP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KTP found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

JaPS has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: KTP stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KTP VS JaPS
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KTP

(Home)
10 Jul
KTP
4 : 1
JaPS
03 Jul
KTP
3 : 3
Jippo
27 Jun
Haka
0 : 2
KTP
12 Jun
KTP
5 : 1
Ekenas IF
08 Jun
KTP
0 : 2
Haka
Page 1 of 6

JaPS

(Away)
10 Jul
KTP
4 : 1
JaPS
03 Jul
JaPS
1 : 0
SJK Akatemia
28 Jun
KaPa
3 : 1
JaPS
12 Jun
JaPS
0 : 5
PK-35
05 Jun
Haka
1 : 2
JaPS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PK-3515103225:833
2KTP15102325:1532
3Jippo1576222:1127
4Haka1574426:1725
5JaPS1571714:2322
6Mikkelin1552814:1917
7KaPa1444617:2216
8Ekenas IF1551921:3016
9Klubi 041416712:189
10SJK Akatemia151597:208
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)