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KTP vs JaPS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Arto Tolsa Areena, Kotka
3 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Makela J.
Assist: Eloluoto O.
46'
Sub
Agyei D. In: Paavola M.
Out: Agyei D.
51'
Heidari R.

AI Match Summary

The Ykkosliiga game between KTP and JaPS finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KTP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
KTP
20%
Draws
34%
JaPS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KTP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KTP come out ahead of JaPS on wins alone.
  • KTP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ykkosliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and KTP have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
KTP Clean Sheet 20%
JaPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTP JaPS
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 18 15
Draws 6 2
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs JaPS
3:0
Jul 10, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs JaPS
4:1
May 16, 2026 Ykkosliiga
JaPS vs KTP
0:1
Feb 9, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
KTP vs JaPS
3:0
Mar 9, 2025 Club Friendly
KTP vs JaPS
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KTP Compare

Top Goalscorer Makela J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sunday G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

JaPS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTP 85 / 100
JaPS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTP JaPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KTP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KTP scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: JaPS conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

KTP went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KTP VS JaPS
2 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KTP

(Home)
17 Oct
KTP
0 : 0
Klubi 04
11 Oct
SJK Akatemia
4 : 3
KTP
25 Sept
KTP
1 : 1
Mikkelin
19 Sept
PK-35
0 : 3
KTP
11 Sept
KTP
3 : 0
JaPS
Page 1 of 6

JaPS

(Away)
17 Oct
Mikkelin
1 : 2
JaPS
09 Oct
JaPS
0 : 4
Jippo
26 Sept
Klubi 04
2 : 1
JaPS
18 Sept
JaPS
1 : 0
Ekenas IF
11 Sept
KTP
3 : 0
JaPS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTP 27 18 5 4 48:26 59
2 PK-35 27 15 7 5 44:23 52
3 Haka 27 14 5 8 51:31 47
4 Jippo 27 13 8 6 38:22 47
5 JaPS 27 12 2 13 25:41 38
6 Ekenas IF 27 9 5 13 32:46 32
7 Mikkelin 27 8 6 13 29:38 30
8 Klubi 04 27 6 9 12 37:37 27
9 KaPa 27 6 7 14 33:49 25
10 SJK Akatemia 27 3 8 16 23:47 17
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)