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KTP vs JaPS

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Arto Tolsa Areena, Kotka
Fri, Sep 11, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KTP host JaPS in the Ykkosliiga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: KTP at 1.68 goals for, 1.07 against; JaPS at 1.29 for, 1.29 against. Head-to-head, KTP have won 4 to JaPS's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.06) point toward KTP. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
KTP
15%
Draws
27%
JaPS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KTP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KTP come out ahead of JaPS on wins alone.
  • KTP are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Ykkosliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and KTP have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
KTP Clean Sheet 20%
JaPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTP JaPS
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 18 15
Draws 5 2
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.68 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs JaPS
4:1
May 16, 2026 Ykkosliiga
JaPS vs KTP
0:1
Feb 9, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
KTP vs JaPS
3:0
Mar 9, 2025 Club Friendly
KTP vs JaPS
2:0
Sep 13, 2024 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs JaPS
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTP 76 / 100
JaPS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTP JaPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KTP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KTP scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: KTP remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

JaPS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

KTP VS JaPS
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KTP

(Home)
22 Aug
Ekenas IF
0 : 1
KTP
15 Aug
KTP
2 : 1
KaPa
09 Aug
Klubi 04
0 : 1
KTP
31 Jul
KTP
2 : 1
SJK Akatemia
25 Jul
Mikkelin
3 : 3
KTP
Page 1 of 6

JaPS

(Away)
21 Aug
PK-35
3 : 0
JaPS
14 Aug
JaPS
1 : 2
Haka
07 Aug
JaPS
1 : 0
Mikkelin
30 Jul
Jippo
1 : 0
JaPS
25 Jul
JaPS
2 : 0
Klubi 04
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTP 20 14 3 3 34:20 45
2 PK-35 20 12 5 3 34:14 41
3 Haka 20 12 4 4 40:20 40
4 Jippo 20 9 7 4 27:17 34
5 JaPS 20 9 1 10 18:29 28
6 Ekenas IF 20 8 2 10 26:31 26
7 Mikkelin 20 6 3 11 22:30 21
8 Klubi 04 20 3 7 10 19:27 16
9 KaPa 20 4 4 12 21:35 16
10 SJK Akatemia 20 2 6 12 9:27 12
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)