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KTP W vs EBK W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W Logo

KTP W

1 - 4
FT
EBK W Logo

EBK W

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Heininen T.
17' Event
Giamanco S.
22' Event
Mankki E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

EBK W in this Kansallinen Ykkonen Women matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored EBK W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
KTP W
20%
Draws
50%
EBK W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: EBK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • EBK W have won more games recently than KTP W.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on EBK W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors EBK W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
KTP W Clean Sheet 11%
EBK W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTP W EBK W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 21
Draws 0 5
Losses 22 4
Goals Scored 1.34 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs EBK W
1:4
Mar 21, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
EBK W vs KTP W
4:0
Oct 11, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KTP W vs EBK W
2:4
Sep 13, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
EBK W vs KTP W
0:2
Jun 28, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
EBK W vs KTP W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KTP W Compare

Top Goalscorer Giamanco S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

EBK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Heininen T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mankki E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTP W 18 / 100
EBK W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTP W EBK W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EBK W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

KTP W scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: EBK W conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: KTP W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KTP W VS EBK W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KTP W

(Home)
20 Sept
KTP W
1 : 4
Keski-Uusimaa W
13 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
1 : 0
KTP W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
KTP W
0 : 5
ONS Oulu W
16 Aug
Lahti W
2 : 5
KTP W
Page 1 of 6

EBK W

(Away)
11 Sept
HJS W
1 : 0
EBK W
29 Aug
EBK W
2 : 2
PK-35 Vantaa W
23 Aug
EBK W
3 : 2
VIFK Vaasa W
16 Aug
JyPK W
1 : 1
EBK W
09 Aug
EBK W
0 : 1
Honka W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EBK W 18 14 3 1 49:13 45
2 Honka W 18 10 4 4 27:13 34
3 HJS W 18 9 3 6 37:27 30
4 JyPK W 18 9 2 7 35:27 29
5 HJK Akatemia W 18 8 4 6 37:30 28
6 ONS Oulu W 18 7 4 7 24:22 25
7 Keski-Uusimaa W 18 6 2 10 30:38 20
8 TPS W 18 3 7 8 20:37 16
9 KTP W 18 5 0 13 21:50 15
10 Lahti W 18 3 3 12 23:46 12
Relegation - Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group)