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KTP W vs HJK Akatemia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KTP W host HJK Akatemia W in the Kansallinen Ykkonen Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. HJK Akatemia W have shipped 2.4 goals a game lately, while KTP W have conceded 2.72 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor HJK Akatemia W slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (2.38 xG vs 2.06) point toward HJK Akatemia W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
KTP W
15%
Draws
85%
HJK Akatemia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HJK Akatemia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • HJK Akatemia W have won more games recently than KTP W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and HJK Akatemia W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
KTP W Clean Sheet 10%
HJK Akatemia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTP W HJK Akatemia W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 0 4
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 1.21 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.72 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
HJK Akatemia W vs KTP W
1:0
Jun 10, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs HJK Akatemia W
2:4
Apr 3, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
HJK Akatemia W vs KTP W
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK Akatemia W vs KTP W
3:2
Aug 29, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KTP W vs HJK Akatemia W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTP W 30 / 100
HJK Akatemia W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTP W HJK Akatemia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Akatemia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HJK Akatemia W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Away concern: HJK Akatemia W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: KTP W scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

KTP W VS HJK Akatemia W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

KTP W

(Home)
04 Oct
KTP W
0 : 1
Lahti W
26 Sept
ONS Oulu W
5 : 0
KTP W
20 Sept
KTP W
1 : 4
Keski-Uusimaa W
13 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
1 : 0
KTP W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
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HJK Akatemia W

(Away)
16 Oct
HJK Akatemia W
1 : 3
Lahti W
04 Oct
HJK Akatemia W
1 : 3
ONS Oulu W
28 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa W
3 : 1
HJK Akatemia W
18 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
2 : 3
TPS W
13 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
1 : 0
KTP W
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