Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KTP W vs Lahti W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Savolainen E.
35' Event
Idman A.
51' Event
Vihanto V.

AI Match Summary

Lahti W in this Kansallinen Ykkonen Women matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lahti W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
KTP W
15%
Draws
85%
Lahti W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lahti W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • KTP W have won more games recently than Lahti W.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Lahti W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and KTP W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
KTP W Clean Sheet 15%
Lahti W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTP W Lahti W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 0 4
Losses 22 20
Goals Scored 1.28 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.83 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs KTP W
2:5
Jun 25, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs Lahti W
2:6
Apr 19, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs KTP W
1:2
Jun 4, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs KTP W
2:5
Apr 16, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs Lahti W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KTP W Compare

Top Goalscorer Idman A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smith J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Lahti W Compare

Top Goalscorer Savolainen E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vihanto V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTP W 23 / 100
Lahti W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTP W Lahti W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lahti W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lahti W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.40 goals when they meet.

Lahti W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

KTP W scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

KTP W VS Lahti W
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KTP W

(Home)
26 Sept
ONS Oulu W
5 : 0
KTP W
20 Sept
KTP W
1 : 4
Keski-Uusimaa W
13 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
1 : 0
KTP W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
KTP W
0 : 5
ONS Oulu W
Page 1 of 6

Lahti W

(Away)
26 Sept
Lahti W
0 : 0
TPS W
20 Sept
ONS Oulu W
0 : 2
Lahti W
12 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa W
7 : 0
Lahti W
30 Aug
Lahti W
1 : 3
HJK Akatemia W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EBK W 18 14 3 1 49:13 45
2 Honka W 18 10 4 4 27:13 34
3 HJS W 18 9 3 6 37:27 30
4 JyPK W 18 9 2 7 35:27 29
5 HJK Akatemia W 18 8 4 6 37:30 28
6 ONS Oulu W 18 7 4 7 24:22 25
7 Keski-Uusimaa W 18 6 2 10 30:38 20
8 TPS W 18 3 7 8 20:37 16
9 KTP W 18 5 0 13 21:50 15
10 Lahti W 18 3 3 12 23:46 12
Relegation - Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group)