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KTP W vs TPS W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Vainikainen E.
42' Event
Ignatov A.
45' Event
Mattila E.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Ykkonen Women game between KTP W and TPS W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
KTP W
15%
Draws
57%
TPS W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • TPS W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans TPS W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Kansallinen Ykkonen Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
KTP W Clean Sheet 10%
TPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTP W TPS W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 1 8
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 1.34 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.66 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs TPS W
2:3
Jul 25, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs KTP W
1:0
May 17, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs TPS W
2:1
Jul 17, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs TPS W
6:1
May 15, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs KTP W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KTP W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vainikainen E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikkola R.-T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

TPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ignatov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mattila E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTP W 10 / 100
TPS W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTP W TPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: TPS W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: KTP W scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: KTP W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KTP W VS TPS W
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

KTP W

(Home)
13 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
1 : 0
KTP W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
KTP W
0 : 5
ONS Oulu W
16 Aug
Lahti W
2 : 5
KTP W
10 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa W
1 : 4
KTP W
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TPS W

(Away)
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
17 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa W
2 : 3
TPS W
12 Aug
TPS W
3 : 1
HJK Akatemia W
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