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KTS Weszlo vs MKS Mlawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Neuman M.
42' Event
Winiarski D.
64' Event
Sawka A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I game between KTS Weszlo and MKS Mlawa finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KTS Weszlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
KTS Weszlo
15%
Draws
32%
MKS Mlawa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KTS Weszlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • MKS Mlawa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • KTS Weszlo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
KTS Weszlo Clean Sheet 16%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTS Weszlo MKS Mlawa
Matches Played 17 33
Wins 12 18
Draws 3 3
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 2.47 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 III Liga - Group I
KTS Weszlo vs MKS Mlawa
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KTS Weszlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Winiarski D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Firlej M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

MKS Mlawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sawka A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTS Weszlo 66 / 100
MKS Mlawa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTS Weszlo MKS Mlawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KTS Weszlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KTS Weszlo's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

MKS Mlawa let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

KTS Weszlo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KTS Weszlo VS MKS Mlawa
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

KTS Weszlo

(Home)
03 Oct
KTS Weszlo
1 : 3
Olimpia Zambrow
26 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1
KTS Weszlo
19 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1
KTS Weszlo
05 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 0
Zabkovia Zabki
Page 1 of 4

MKS Mlawa

(Away)
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4
Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4
MKS Mlawa
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1
Troszyn
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
06 Sept
MKS Mlawa
0 : 2
LKS Lodz II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 11 6 4 1 19:10 22
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 10 4 3 3 18:16 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)