Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KTS Weszlo vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Winiarski D.
24' Event
Tlaczala B.
44' Event
Zawadzki F.

AI Match Summary

KTS Weszlo in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored KTS Weszlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
KTS Weszlo
30%
Draws
19%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KTS Weszlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: KTS Weszlo at 2.56 per game, Tomaszow Mazowiecki at 2.03.
  • Model gives KTS Weszlo a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
KTS Weszlo Clean Sheet 17%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTS Weszlo Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Matches Played 16 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 1 11
Goals Scored 2.56 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 III Liga - Group I
KTS Weszlo vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KTS Weszlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Winiarski D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tlaczala B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Zawadzki F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTS Weszlo 84 / 100
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTS Weszlo Tomaszow Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KTS Weszlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KTS Weszlo found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (16 games).

Tomaszow Mazowiecki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

KTS Weszlo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

KTS Weszlo VS Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KTS Weszlo

(Home)
26 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1
KTS Weszlo
19 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1
KTS Weszlo
05 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 0
Zabkovia Zabki
29 Aug
Troszyn
3 : 3
KTS Weszlo
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Tomaszow Mazowiecki

(Away)
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Troszyn
29 Aug
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 10 8 2 0 23:7 26
2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 10 6 2 2 26:17 20
3 Suwalki 10 5 4 1 18:10 19
4 Pelikan 10 6 1 3 16:12 19
5 Plock II 10 5 3 2 22:17 18
6 Swit Mazowiecki 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
10 Widzew Lodz II 9 4 1 4 20:17 13
11 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 10 4 1 5 20:21 13
12 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
13 Olimpia Zambrow 10 3 2 5 20:26 11
14 Olimpia Elblag 10 3 1 6 14:20 10
15 MKS Mlawa 10 3 1 6 20:28 10
16 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
17 Lidzbark Warmimski 10 1 3 6 14:21 6
18 LKS Lomza 10 0 3 7 10:23 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)