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Kuban Kholding vs Tuapse Prediction & H2H Stats

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FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Zakirov K.
28'
Belobaev D.
39'
Papikyan D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 game between Kuban Kholding and Tuapse finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuapse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Kuban Kholding
15%
Draws
36%
Tuapse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kuban Kholding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Kuban Kholding carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kuban Kholding are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kuban Kholding have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Kuban Kholding Clean Sheet 20%
Tuapse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuban Kholding Tuapse
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 10 2
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.42 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Kuban Kholding vs Tuapse
1:2
Aug 20, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Kuban Kholding
0:3
Apr 27, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Kuban Kholding vs Tuapse
3:0
Oct 11, 2020 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Kuban Kholding
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kuban Kholding Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozhukhar I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Tuapse Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakirov K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khanmurzaev M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuban Kholding 85 / 100
Tuapse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuban Kholding Tuapse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kuban Kholding Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuapse has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Kuban Kholding found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Away concern: Tuapse has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kuban Kholding VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuban Kholding

(Home)
22 Nov
Rostov 2
0 : 0
Kuban Kholding
15 Nov
Kuban Kholding
3 : 0
FK Pobeda
08 Nov
FC Sevastopol
2 : 0
Kuban Kholding
02 Nov
Nart Cherkessk
1 : 0
Kuban Kholding
29 Oct
Torpedo Moscow
2 : 1
Kuban Kholding
Page 1 of 7

Tuapse

(Away)
05 Jun
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
5 : 0
Tuapse
30 May
Tuapse
0 : 4
Spartak Nalchik
22 May
Mashuk
1 : 3
Tuapse
16 May
Tuapse
0 : 5
Legion Makhachkala
12 May
Biolog
1 : 0
Tuapse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Makhachkala 32 25 5 2 62:12 80
2 SKA Rostov-on-Don 32 24 4 4 71:22 76
3 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 32 21 7 4 88:24 70
4 Forte Taganrog 32 17 10 5 55:31 61
5 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 32 18 6 8 70:35 60
6 Kuban Kholding 32 15 9 8 46:31 54
7 Legion Makhachkala 32 12 10 10 44:31 46
8 Biolog 32 11 11 10 50:45 44
9 Anzhi 32 13 9 10 46:35 42
10 Spartak Nalchik 32 10 10 12 32:28 40
11 Maykop 32 7 11 14 25:44 32
12 Mashuk 32 7 10 15 47:54 31
13 Dynamo Stavropol 32 7 8 17 40:57 29
14 Tuapse 32 12 2 18 36:60 29
15 R. Volgograd 2 32 5 6 21 26:74 21
16 Alania 2 32 2 6 24 32:97 12
17 Yessentuki 32 2 4 26 16:106 10
Promotion - FNL 2022/2023 (Main)