Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kuban vs Tyumen

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 Kuban Stadium, Krasnodar
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Yakovlev M.
45' Event
Bakharev G.
46'
Sub
Yakovlev M. In: Kovalevskiy E.
Out: Yakovlev M.

AI Match Summary

Kuban in this FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kuban.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kuban
30%
Draws
47%
Tyumen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tyumen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tyumen lately — more wins on the board than Kuban.
  • Win probability leans Tyumen's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Kuban Clean Sheet 22%
Tyumen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuban Tyumen
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kuban vs Tyumen
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Tyumen vs Kuban
2:1
Feb 22, 2024 Club Friendly
Tyumen vs Kuban
1:2
Nov 12, 2023 FNL
Tyumen vs Kuban
3:0
Sep 23, 2023 FNL
Kuban vs Tyumen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kuban Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakharev G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Tyumen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuban 13 / 100
Tyumen 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuban Tyumen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tyumen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tyumen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Kuban scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Kuban remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kuban VS Tyumen
1.17 Goals Scored 0.75
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.63
83% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuban

(Home)
14 Jun
Zenit St Petersburg 2
2 : 1
Kuban
06 Jun
Kuban
1 : 0
Tyumen
30 May
Amkar
2 : 2
Kuban
24 May
Kuban
1 : 1
Kirov
20 May
D. Bryansk
2 : 1
Kuban
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Tyumen

(Away)
05 Sept
Tyumen
5 : 2
Dynamo Moscow 2
30 Aug
Tyumen
5 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
23 Aug
Zenit St Petersburg 2
1 : 1
Tyumen
16 Aug
Tyumen
4 : 3
Torpedo Miass
12 Aug
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 1
Tyumen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Bryansk 18 11 3 4 23:19 36
2 Kirov 18 8 9 1 31:16 33
3 Alania Vladikavkaz 18 7 5 6 23:22 26
4 Dynamo Vladivostok 18 6 6 6 21:20 24
5 Amkar 18 6 6 6 30:26 24
6 Dynamo Moscow 2 18 5 7 6 29:36 22
7 Zenit St Petersburg 2 18 6 4 8 33:37 22
8 Tyumen 18 5 5 8 25:25 20
9 Dynamo Stavropol 18 5 3 10 20:26 18
10 Kuban 18 4 6 8 17:25 18
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Fall Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 (Relegation)