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Kuchl vs Kitzbuhel

Austria Austria

Regionalliga West 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ritter L.
54' Event
Bruckler L.
67' Event
Salchegger J.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga West 2025/2026 game between Kuchl and Kitzbuhel finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kuchl.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Kuchl
28%
Draws
22%
Kitzbuhel
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kuchl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kuchl come out ahead of Kitzbuhel on wins alone.
  • Kuchl are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Regionalliga West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kuchl Clean Sheet 16%
Kitzbuhel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuchl Kitzbuhel
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 1 3
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Regionalliga West
Kuchl vs Kitzbuhel
3:1
Oct 11, 2025 Regionalliga West
Kitzbuhel vs Kuchl
1:2
Apr 9, 2025 Regionalliga West
Kitzbuhel vs Kuchl
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 Regionalliga West
Kuchl vs Kitzbuhel
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kuchl Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruckler L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salchegger J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Kitzbuhel Compare

Top Goalscorer Ritter L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuchl 48 / 100
Kitzbuhel 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuchl Kitzbuhel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kuchl's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kitzbuhel let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Kuchl went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kuchl VS Kitzbuhel
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wacker Innsbruck32282288:1886
2Kuchl32212961:4365
3SC Imst32197671:3864
4Seekirchen32194983:5161
5Dornbirn321641262:4652
6Bischofshofen321631361:4951
7Hohenems321211960:5247
8Kitzbuhel321441446:4446
9Reichenau321431544:5545
10Schwaz321351457:5644
11Wals-Grunau321181356:6541
12FC Lustenau32971649:7834
13Johann32951845:5832
14Pinzgau Saalfelden32761926:6027
15Altach U2132761935:7527
16Kufstein325101733:5525
17Lauterach32652146:8023