Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kucukcekmece vs Gemlikspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Velioglu T. C.
Assist: Ilkin E.
63' Event
Gokbayrak A.
Assist: Yildirim A.
71' Event
Ilkin E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 game between Kucukcekmece and Gemlikspor finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kucukcekmece.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Kucukcekmece
20%
Draws
52%
Gemlikspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gemlikspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kucukcekmece come out ahead of Gemlikspor on wins alone.
  • Gemlikspor are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Kucukcekmece Clean Sheet 17%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kucukcekmece Gemlikspor
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.81 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Kucukcekmece vs Gemlikspor
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Gemlikspor vs Kucukcekmece
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kucukcekmece Compare

Top Goalscorer Velioglu T. C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gokbayrak A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Gemlikspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kucukcekmece 20 / 100
Gemlikspor 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kucukcekmece Gemlikspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemlikspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kucukcekmece's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Gemlikspor let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kucukcekmece stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kucukcekmece VS Gemlikspor
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kucukcekmece

(Home)
26 Sept
Kucukcekmece
1 : 1
Zonguldak Komurspor
20 Sept
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Kucukcekmece
12 Sept
Kucukcekmece
1 : 1
Galata Spor Kulubu
06 Sept
Beykoz Anadolu
0 : 1
Kucukcekmece
08 May
Corluspor
3 : 1
Kucukcekmece
Page 1 of 7

Gemlikspor

(Away)
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
06 Sept
Aksehirspor
0 : 4
Gemlikspor
18 Apr
Gemlikspor
3 : 1
Kestel Cilekspor
12 Apr
Silivrispor
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inegol Kafkas 30 18 8 4 49:26 62
2 Corluspor 30 18 7 5 57:23 61
3 Kucukcekmece 30 17 5 8 54:30 56
4 Etimesgut 30 14 10 6 36:23 52
5 Bursa Yildirimspor 30 13 10 7 38:31 49
6 Silivrispor 30 12 7 11 42:36 43
7 Beykoz Ishakli Spor 30 9 13 8 34:35 40
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 8 12 33:42 38
9 Yesil Yalova FK 30 9 10 11 38:36 37
10 Galata Spor Kulubu 30 10 7 13 34:34 37
11 Bulvarspor 30 9 8 13 35:47 35
12 Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 30 7 14 9 23:36 35
13 Cankaya FK 30 8 10 12 38:37 34
14 Kestel Cilekspor 30 8 6 16 27:39 30
15 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 7 16 24:44 28
16 Edirnespor Genclik 30 3 6 21 22:65 15
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)