Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kucukcekmece vs Tarsus

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kucukcekmece play Tarsus in the 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024. Kucukcekmece are favorites here. Recently, Kucukcekmece averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Tarsus averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.97 conceded. In past meetings, Kucukcekmece won 2, Tarsus won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 3, 2024 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for Kucukcekmece and 1.19 for Tarsus. This points to a Kucukcekmece double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

75%
Kucukcekmece
15%
Draws
10%
Tarsus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kucukcekmece

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kucukcekmece picked up more points recently compared to Tarsus.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Kucukcekmece Clean Sheet 20%
Tarsus Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kucukcekmece Tarsus
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 2
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 24
Goals Scored 1.94 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Kucukcekmece vs Tarsus
4:0
Sep 23, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Tarsus vs Kucukcekmece
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kucukcekmece Compare

Top Goalscorer Karadag E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zileli O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Tarsus Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kucukcekmece 72 / 100
Tarsus 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kucukcekmece Tarsus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kucukcekmece Win (1)
Secondary Pick Kucukcekmece & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +11.7%
1.49
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kucukcekmece attacking → ← attacking Tarsus

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kucukcekmece scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Tarsus let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Kucukcekmece went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tarsus lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 10
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kepez Bld.28224267:1870
2Aliaga28199060:1866
3Ayvalikgucu28157640:2552
452 Orduspor28147740:2849
5Inegol Kafkas28138737:3047
6Edirnespor Genclik281351045:2844
7Mardin 1969281251140:3441
8Kucukcekmece281081041:3138
9Karabuk Idmanyurdu281051327:4435
10Hopaspor28971233:2934
11Erciyes 38281041434:4534
12Kirikkale FK28851531:4229
13Gumushanespor284101425:4922
14Arguvan28342121:5713
15Tarsus28242220:8310