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Kukesi vs Butrinti Sarande

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 Arena Egnatia, Rrogozhinë
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Matheus Alisson
47' Event
Abiodoun T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Kukesi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kukesi
15%
Draws
0%
Butrinti Sarande
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kukesi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kukesi come out ahead of Butrinti Sarande on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kukesi's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Kukesi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kukesi, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kukesi here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kukesi Clean Sheet 20%
Butrinti Sarande Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kukesi Butrinti Sarande
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.23 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Butrinti Sarande
2:0
Feb 12, 2012 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Butrinti Sarande
1:0
Sep 10, 2011 Kategoria e Parë
Butrinti Sarande vs Kukesi
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kukesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Alisson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abiodoun T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Butrinti Sarande Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kukesi 76 / 100
Butrinti Sarande 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kukesi Butrinti Sarande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kukesi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Butrinti Sarande lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Kukesi's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Butrinti Sarande let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Kukesi VS Butrinti Sarande
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kukesi

(Home)
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
05 Sept
Kukesi
2 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4
Besa Kavaje
08 Aug
Maliqi
1 : 3
Kukesi
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Butrinti Sarande

(Away)
28 May
Kukesi
2 : 0
Butrinti Sarande
15 Oct
Lushnja
2 : 1
Butrinti Sarande
16 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1
Butrinti Sarande
18 Oct
Luzi
3 : 2
Butrinti Sarande
11 Oct
Dinamo City
3 : 0
Butrinti Sarande
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Kukesi 2
Butrinti Sarande 0