Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kukesi vs KF Oriku Prediction & H2H Stats

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 Kukes Arena, Kukës
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Danaj R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Kukesi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kukesi
15%
Draws
0%
KF Oriku
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kukesi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • KF Oriku haven't matched Kukesi's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kukesi a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Kukesi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kukesi, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Kukesi have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kukesi Clean Sheet 20%
KF Oriku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kukesi KF Oriku
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 2
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.36 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs KF Oriku
1:0
Sep 26, 2018 Albanian Cup
Kukesi vs KF Oriku
4:1
Sep 12, 2018 Albanian Cup
KF Oriku vs Kukesi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kukesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Danaj R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82

KF Oriku Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kukesi 85 / 100
KF Oriku 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kukesi KF Oriku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kukesi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kukesi scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Difficult form: KF Oriku registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: KF Oriku conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Kukesi VS KF Oriku
1.5 Goals Scored 0.2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.8
100% Over 1.5 40%
75% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Kukesi

(Home)
20 Sept
Kukesi
3 : 0
Korabi Peshkopi
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
05 Sept
Kukesi
2 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4
Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 7

KF Oriku

(Away)
20 Sept
KF Oriku
0 : 1
Burreli
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
KF Oriku
1 : 2
Bylis
06 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 0
KF Oriku
15 Oct
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
KF Oriku
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Kukesi 1
KF Oriku 0
Kastrioti 1
Luzi 0