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Kultsu Joutseno vs Mikkelin

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Babatunde T.
47' Event
Leinonen N.
53' Event
Seppala E.

AI Match Summary

Mikkelin in this Suomen Cup 2023 tie, finishing 1-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kultsu Joutseno
30%
Draws
47%
Mikkelin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mikkelin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mikkelin have won more games recently than Kultsu Joutseno.
  • Model gives Mikkelin a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Mikkelin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kultsu Joutseno, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Kultsu Joutseno Clean Sheet 20%
Mikkelin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kultsu Joutseno Mikkelin
Matches Played 22 32
Wins 3 12
Draws 2 6
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.18 1.41
Goals Conceded 3.23 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2023 Suomen Cup
Kultsu Joutseno vs Mikkelin
1:5
Aug 20, 2017 Kakkonen Group A
Mikkelin vs Kultsu Joutseno
1:2
Jun 3, 2017 Kakkonen Group A
Kultsu Joutseno vs Mikkelin
1:0
Sep 25, 2016 Kakkonen Group A
Kultsu Joutseno vs Mikkelin
2:0
Jul 3, 2016 Kakkonen Group A
Mikkelin vs Kultsu Joutseno
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kultsu Joutseno Compare

Top Goalscorer Seppala E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Mikkelin Compare

Top Goalscorer Babatunde T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leinonen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kultsu Joutseno 10 / 100
Mikkelin 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kultsu Joutseno Mikkelin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mikkelin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mikkelin has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Kultsu Joutseno's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kultsu Joutseno has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mikkelin
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kultsu Joutseno

(Home)
08 May
Kultsu Joutseno
0 : 7
Lahti
28 Apr
PK-37
2 : 3
Kultsu Joutseno
26 Apr
Kultsu Joutseno
1 : 5
Mikkelin
31 Oct
Kultsu Joutseno
1 : 2
Honka Akatemia
25 Oct
MiPK
4 : 4
Kultsu Joutseno
Page 1 of 5

Mikkelin

(Away)
25 Sept
KTP
1 : 1
Mikkelin
19 Sept
Mikkelin
1 : 0
Jippo
12 Sept
Mikkelin
1 : 1
SJK Akatemia
06 Sept
Haka
0 : 2
Mikkelin
29 Aug
Mikkelin
0 : 3
PK-35
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
PPJ/Ruoholahti 3
Toukolan Teras 2
VJS 2
Kiffen 1
Kuopion Elo 3
Vaajakoski 1
STPS 0
PEPO 6
Fish United 0
Sporting Kristina 5
Tove 1
Pallo-Iirot 2
Toolon Vesa 0
PuiU Helsinki 5
FC Futura 3
NJS 2
ACF 1
NoPS 5
TPS 0
Ilves 2
Dons 1
Tuusulan Palloseura 2
JaPS 2 1
KaPa 4
Toukolan Teras 2 0
HPS 6
Polin Pallo 0
Atlantis 12
SJK U21 1
KePS 3
Jaro 1
KPV Kokkola 2
Lahti/69 0
MyPa 1
LehPa Joensuu 0
KTP 2
Poxyt 0
GrIFK 3
VJS 2 1
Gnistan 5
NuPS 2
EsPa 1
LPS 1
JaPS 3
Ylojarvi United 0
KaaPo 4
Abo IFK 0
Ekenas IF 4
SJK Akatemia 1
SJK 5
TBD -
AC Oulu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haka -
SJK-j Apollo 7
PonPa 1
Tervarit 0
VPS 2
OLS Oulu 3
JS Hercules 0
OTP 4
GBK Kokkola 3
HooGee 7
PPS/Old Stars 4
ToBK 1
Malmin Ponnistajat 2
Ekenas IF 2 3
PP-70 Tampere 2
MuSa 1
SalPa 2
TPS 3 0
Tampere Utd 5
TBD -
Inter Turku -
FC Inter Turku 2 3
Ilves 2 0
Lasten 1
PIF Pargas 3
HJK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Honka -
JaPS/M35 1
KJP Kouvola 0
PK-37 1
Lahden Reipas 3
Atletico Malmi 2
FC Kirkkonummi 1
Gnistan/Ogeli 2 2
Honka Akatemia 4
Jazz Pori 4
Ilves-Kissat 2
AC Estudiantes 0
HJS 4
Sisu 0
VIFK 2
HauPa 0
RoPS Rovaniemi 2
EuPa 1
TuRaKe 2
VG-62 Naantali 3
Haka 2 2
I-HK 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 13
KoiPS 1
Mariehamn 4
Kultsu Joutseno 1
Mikkelin 5
Edustus IPS 0
JJK Jyvaskyla 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Kyparamaki 3
NiemU 1
Jippo 1
Lahti 2
Toolon Taisto 1
EPS 7
PK-35 2
HIFK 3
1/32-finals
PPJ/Ruoholahti 0
VJS 3
Kuopion Elo 1
PEPO 5
Sporting Kristina 1
Pallo-Iirot 2
PuiU Helsinki 0
FC Futura 1
NoPS 1
Ilves 5
Tuusulan Palloseura 0
KaPa 7
HPS 0
Atlantis 6
KePS 1
KPV Kokkola 2
MyPa 0
KTP 14
GrIFK 2
Gnistan 3
NuPS 1
JaPS 2
KaaPo 1
Ekenas IF 4
SJK 1
AC Oulu 4
TBD -
Haka -
SJK-j Apollo 0
VPS 11
OLS Oulu 2
OTP 3
HooGee 2
Malmin Ponnistajat 0
Ekenas IF 2 0
SalPa 2
Tampere Utd 0
Inter Turku 3
FC Inter Turku 2 1
PIF Pargas 0
HJK -
TBD -
TBD -
Honka -
JaPS/M35 0
Lahden Reipas 5
Atletico Malmi 2
Honka Akatemia 4
Jazz Pori 4
HJS 1
VIFK 4
RoPS Rovaniemi 2
TuRaKe 1
VG-62 Naantali 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 0
Mariehamn 3
Mikkelin 1
JJK Jyvaskyla 2
TBD -
KuPS -
Kyparamaki 0
Lahti 1
EPS 1
HIFK 4
1/16-finals
VJS 3
PEPO 2
Pallo-Iirot 5
FC Futura 1
Ilves 3
KaPa 1
Atlantis 0
KPV Kokkola 1
KTP 2
Gnistan 1
JaPS 0
Ekenas IF 1
AC Oulu 2
Haka 1
VPS 3
OTP 1
HooGee 0
SalPa 6
Inter Turku 8
FC Inter Turku 2 0
HJK 1
Honka 2
Lahden Reipas 2
Honka Akatemia 3
Jazz Pori 0
VIFK 2
TuRaKe 0
Mariehamn 7
JJK Jyvaskyla 0
KuPS 2
Lahti 0
HIFK 1
1/8-finals
VJS 2
Pallo-Iirot 1
Ilves 4
KPV Kokkola 1
KTP 3
Ekenas IF 0
AC Oulu 1
VPS 0
SalPa 1
Inter Turku 0
Honka 5
Honka Akatemia 1
VIFK 0
Mariehamn 1
KuPS 1
HIFK 0
Quarter-finals
VJS 0
Ilves 4
KTP 1
AC Oulu 2
SalPa 1
Honka 3
Mariehamn 2
KuPS 1
Semi-finals
Ilves 1
AC Oulu 0
Honka 1
Mariehamn 0
Final
Ilves 2
Honka 1