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Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kumamoto host Gainare Tottori in the J3 League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Kumamoto at 0.86 goals for, 1.07 against; Gainare Tottori at 1.6 for, 1.53 against. Past meetings favor Kumamoto slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 19, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.19, favoring Gainare Tottori. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kumamoto
20%
Draws
44%
Gainare Tottori
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gainare Tottori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gainare Tottori lately — more wins on the board than Kumamoto.
  • Kumamoto are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Kumamoto Clean Sheet 20%
Gainare Tottori Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kumamoto Gainare Tottori
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 5 1
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.86 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Emperors Cup
Gainare Tottori vs Kumamoto
3:2
Apr 25, 2026 J2/J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Kumamoto
0:2
Mar 15, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori
0:1
Aug 28, 2021 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Kumamoto
1:2
Jun 20, 2021 J3 League
Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kumamoto 42 / 100
Gainare Tottori 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kumamoto Gainare Tottori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gainare Tottori let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Kumamoto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Gainare Tottori's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kumamoto VS Gainare Tottori
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kumamoto

(Home)
11 Oct
Kumamoto
0 : 2
Ehime
02 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 0
Kumamoto
29 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1
Kumamoto
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0
Matsumoto Yamaga
Page 1 of 6

Gainare Tottori

(Away)
14 Oct
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3
Cerezo Osaka
11 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1
Gifu
07 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1
Verdy
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1
Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ehime 10 7 2 1 24:10 23
2 Kagoshima United 10 7 2 1 19:11 23
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 10 6 2 2 14:7 20
4 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
5 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
6 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
7 Gifu 10 5 1 4 20:10 16
8 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
9 Kumamoto 10 3 5 2 7:6 14
10 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
12 Gainare Tottori 10 4 1 5 12:19 13
13 Matsumoto Yamaga 10 2 5 3 9:11 11
14 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
15 Tochigi SC 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
16 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
17 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)