Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kumamoto vs Ryukyu

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto
Kumamoto Logo

Kumamoto

0 - 1
FT
Ryukyu Logo

Ryukyu

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Kikuchi S.
38' Event
Ihara A.
57'
Sub
Bae Jeong-Min In: Handai M.
Out: Bae Jeong-Min
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ryukyu in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ryukyu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Kumamoto
20%
Draws
28%
Ryukyu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kumamoto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Kumamoto have won more games recently than Ryukyu.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Kumamoto taking it.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Kumamoto Clean Sheet 68%
Ryukyu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kumamoto Ryukyu
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 1
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.07 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kumamoto vs Ryukyu
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 J2/J3 League
Ryukyu vs Kumamoto
0:1
Jun 21, 2023 Emperors Cup
Kumamoto vs Ryukyu
3:2
Jul 30, 2022 J2 League
Ryukyu vs Kumamoto
2:0
May 8, 2022 J2 League
Kumamoto vs Ryukyu
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kumamoto Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ryukyu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ihara A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kumamoto 68 / 100
Ryukyu 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kumamoto Ryukyu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kumamoto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ryukyu has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Kumamoto went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ryukyu lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kumamoto VS Ryukyu
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kumamoto

(Home)
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0
Matsumoto Yamaga
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2
Kumamoto
06 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 2
Nara Club
02 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 0
Oita Trinita
30 Aug
Kochi United
0 : 2
Kumamoto
Page 1 of 6

Ryukyu

(Away)
20 Sept
Reilac Shiga
3 : 0
Ryukyu
13 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 0
Kamatamare Sanuki
09 Sept
Ryukyu
3 : 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
05 Sept
Kagoshima United
2 : 1
Ryukyu
02 Sept
Ryukyu
2 : 3
Yokohama FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)