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Kumla vs Lidkoping - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Danielsson S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Kumla and Lidkoping finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kumla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Kumla
20%
Draws
56%
Lidkoping
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lidkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Lidkoping's 1.28 goals per match outpaces what Kumla have produced (1.13).
  • Model gives Lidkoping a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kumla Clean Sheet 10%
Lidkoping Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kumla Lidkoping
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Lidkoping
1:0
Apr 10, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Lidkoping vs Kumla
1:2
Aug 15, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Lidkoping
0:0
Apr 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Lidkoping vs Kumla
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Lidkoping vs Kumla
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kumla Compare

Top Goalscorer Danielsson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Lidkoping Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kumla 10 / 100
Lidkoping 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kumla Lidkoping

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lidkoping Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kumla scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Lidkoping's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Kumla remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kumla VS Lidkoping
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kumla

(Home)
08 Oct
Vanersborgs FK
3 : 3
Kumla
03 Oct
Skara
3 : 1
Kumla
26 Sept
Kumla
1 : 0
Lidkoping
18 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 1
Kumla
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
Page 1 of 7

Lidkoping

(Away)
10 Oct
Motala
1 : 3
Lidkoping
03 Oct
Lidkoping
1 : 0
Vanersborgs FK
26 Sept
Kumla
1 : 0
Lidkoping
20 Sept
Lidkoping
5 : 2
Vanersborgs IF
13 Sept
Lidkoping
2 : 1
Herrestads AIF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 25 17 5 3 52:26 56
3 IFK Skovde 25 14 5 6 42:26 47
4 Ahlafors 25 12 7 6 56:31 43
5 Grebbestad 25 12 4 9 44:37 40
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 25 10 6 9 45:34 36
8 Lidkoping 25 8 6 11 32:43 30
9 Vanersborgs FK 25 8 5 12 33:43 29
10 Motala 25 6 8 11 36:41 26
11 Kumla 25 6 8 11 26:45 26
12 Tord 25 4 10 11 30:44 22
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)