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KuPS Akatemia vs RoPS Rovaniemi

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Vare Areena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KuPS Akatemia play RoPS Rovaniemi in the Ykkonen. It looks like a close match. Recently, KuPS Akatemia averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. RoPS Rovaniemi averaged 1 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, KuPS Akatemia won 1, RoPS Rovaniemi won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for KuPS Akatemia and 1.63 for RoPS Rovaniemi. This points to a RoPS Rovaniemi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
KuPS Akatemia
44%
Draws
20%
RoPS Rovaniemi
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • RoPS Rovaniemi has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to KuPS Akatemia.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Ykkonen provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
KuPS Akatemia Clean Sheet 14%
RoPS Rovaniemi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS Akatemia RoPS Rovaniemi
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Ykkonen
KuPS Akatemia vs RoPS Rovaniemi
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Ykkonen
RoPS Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia
0:3
Jun 15, 2025 Ykkonen
KuPS Akatemia vs RoPS Rovaniemi
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Ykkonen
KuPS Akatemia vs RoPS Rovaniemi
1:2
May 26, 2024 Ykkonen
RoPS Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS Akatemia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

RoPS Rovaniemi Compare

Top Goalscorer Heiserholt F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS Akatemia 35 / 100
RoPS Rovaniemi 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS Akatemia RoPS Rovaniemi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KuPS Akatemia scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

RoPS Rovaniemi let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

KuPS Akatemia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

RoPS Rovaniemi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KuPS Akatemia VS RoPS Rovaniemi
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampere Utd14101328:931
2RoPS Rovaniemi1484230:1528
3JJK Jyvaskyla1574439:2625
4SalPa1465329:2423
5OLS Oulu1564529:2222
6Keski-Uusimaa1363426:1821
7VJS1355325:1820
8FC Inter Turku 21443725:3915
9Jazz Pori1452715:2214
10TPV1434716:2413
11KuPS Akatemia1423924:349
12KPV Kokkola14221012:478