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KuPS vs Sabah Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Champions League Vare Areena, Kuopio
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Match Events

52' Event
Simic V.
Assist: Puchacz T.
58'
Sub
Gasc V. R. In: Parzyszek P.
Out: Gasc V. R.
58'
Sub
Armah B. In: Luyeye-Lutumba J.
Out: Armah B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
KuPS
30%
Draws
47%
Sabah Baku
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sabah Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sabah Baku have won more games recently than KuPS.
  • KuPS are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Sabah Baku arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sabah Baku, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
KuPS Clean Sheet 15%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS Sabah Baku
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.37 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.04 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Champions League
KuPS vs Sabah Baku
0:2
Jul 21, 2026 Champions League
Sabah Baku vs KuPS
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Simic V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mickels J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS 41 / 100
Sabah Baku 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS Sabah Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KuPS scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

KuPS has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sabah Baku's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

KuPS VS Sabah Baku
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS

(Home)
08 Oct
KuPS
0 : 1
AC Oulu
19 Sept
VPS
0 : 2
KuPS
13 Sept
KuPS
0 : 0
HJK
08 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
KuPS
31 Aug
Inter Turku
1 : 0
KuPS
Page 1 of 6

Sabah Baku

(Away)
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0
Sabah Baku
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3
Sabah Baku
10 Sept
Manchester United
4 : 0
Sabah Baku
05 Sept
Sabah Baku
5 : 0
Zira FK
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah Baku 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah Baku 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah Baku 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia 0
AEK 4
Celtic 4
LASK Linz 5
Din. Zagreb 3
Viking 5
Slovan Bratislava 3
Celje 2
H. Beer Sheva 4
Sabah Baku 6
Fenerbahce 3
Lyon 2
Nijmegen 1
Bodo/Glimt 6